22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Charlotte vs DC United Major League Soccer prediction & result

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Charlotte 3-1 DC United.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Charlotte, 19% draw, 26% DC United — fair odds of 1.82, 5.26 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Charlotte at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Charlotte vs DC United

Charlotte

  • D3-3away to Toronto FC19 August 2026
  • W3-1Columbus Crew15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Chicago Fire2 August 2026
  • W2-0away to New York Red Bulls25 July 2026
  • D2-2Atlanta United FC23 July 2026

DC United

  • L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
  • D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
  • W2-1Toronto FC25 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Houston Dynamo23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Charlotte vs DC United

  • 4 October 2025DC United 0–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 16 July 2025Charlotte 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2025DC United 2–2 CharlotteUS Open Cup
  • 20 October 2024DC United 0–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 15 June 2024Charlotte 1–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 16 September 2023Charlotte 0–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Charlotte and DC United

Charlotte

  • Pep Biel11 goals6 assists

DC United

  • T. Baribo14 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.