Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Dalian Zhixing, 32% draw, 36% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Beijing Guoan at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
Line-ups
- 20Liu WeiguoG
- 38Lu ZhuoyiD
- 24Bi JinhaoD
- 2M. TraoreD
- 22W. MaoD
- 40Liao JintaoM
- 4I. AlimiM
- 9P. DelgadoM
- 10N. StanciuM
- 27Yang MingruiM
- 30F. AcheampongF
- 26Huang ZihaoG
- 33Cao HaiqingD
- 12Feng BoxuanD
- 15Wen JiabaoD
- 28Sun KangboD
- 5Peng ShunjieD
- 21Lu PengM
- 7Luo JingM
- 8Zhang HuachenM
- 34Hou SenG
- 21Yue Tze-NamD
- 27Wang GangD
- 5G. RamosD
- 26Bai YangD
- 37Cao YongjingM
- 23DawhanM
- 7SerginhoM
- 17Yang LiyuM
- 29F. AbreuF
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 31S. LiuG
- 4Li LeiD
- 30Fan ShuangjieD
- 47Deng JiefuD
- 10Zhang XizheM
- 18Wang YuM
- 36Jia FeifanM
- 24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
- 41Cheng XiM
Form going into Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Chongqing Tongliang Long23 August 2026
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Yunnan Yukun15 August 2026
- W1-0Shenyang Urban8 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
All competitions we cover
- D3-3Yunnan Yukun22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Shanghai Shenhua18 August 2026
- W4-2away to Tianjin Teda15 August 2026
- W4-0Sichuan Jiuniu7 August 2026
What these results say
- Dalian Zhixing scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dalian Zhixing had two goals or fewer.
- Beijing Guoan went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Beijing Guoan had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 52 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 58 | 36 | +22 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
- 6 May 2026Beijing Guoan 3–0 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 26 September 2025Beijing Guoan 4–2 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 21 June 2025Dalian Zhixing 1–1 Beijing GuoanFA Cup
- 5 May 2025Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Dalian Zhixing and Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
GoalsAssists
- F. Acheampong124
- N. Stanciu105
Beijing Guoan
GoalsAssists
- Zhang Yuning157
- Fábio Abreu116
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dalian Zhixing and Beijing Guoan drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Beijing Guoan at 36% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Zhang Yuning 43' for Beijing Guoan, P. Delgado 48' for Dalian Zhixing. Sent off: Dawhan (Beijing Guoan) -5'.