Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Dalian Zhixing, 32% draw, 36% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
- W1-0away to Chongqing Tongliang Long23 August 2026
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Yunnan Yukun15 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
- D3-3Yunnan Yukun22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Shanghai Shenhua18 August 2026
- W4-2away to Tianjin Teda15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
- 6 May 2026Beijing Guoan 3–0 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 26 September 2025Beijing Guoan 4–2 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 21 June 2025Dalian Zhixing 1–1 Beijing GuoanFA Cup
- 5 May 2025Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Dalian Zhixing and Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
- N. Stanciu9 goals4 assists
Beijing Guoan
- Zhang Yuning12 goals6 assists
- Fábio Abreu9 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.