Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG Super League prediction & result
Final score: Sichuan Jiuniu 0-1 SHANGHAI SIPG.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Sichuan Jiuniu, 23% draw, 20% SHANGHAI SIPG — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sichuan Jiuniu at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Peng PengG
- 16Tang MiaoD
- 15Yu RuiD
- 3Gabriel XavierD
- 20Z. XuanD
- 36E. KartsevM
- 2Tian YifanM
- 8T. ChowM
- 6Yao JunshengM
- 11A. AdemiM
- 10Dai Wai-TsunF
- 35Wei MinzheG
- 1J. JiG
- 49H. Zhang
- 25Zhao JianfeiD
- 56Wang YuhengM
- 14Li LongM
- 17Li NingM
- 19Zhang YufengM
- 39Yu MenghuiM
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 19Wang ZhenaoD
- 13Wei ZhenD
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 32Li ShuaiD
- 8Jean ClaudeM
- 21O. MelendoM
- 49X. LiM
- 47Kuai JiwenM
- 17P. O. AmpemM
- 45LeonardoF
- 12Chen WeiG
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
- 28Yue XinD
- 22A. Yang
- 23Fu HuanD
- 3Browning TyiasD
- 33Liu ZhurunF
- 20Yang ShiyuanD
- 10Mateus VitalM
Form going into Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Hangzhou Greentown22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Shenyang Urban15 August 2026
- L0-4away to Beijing Guoan7 August 2026
SHANGHAI SIPG
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Qingdao Jonoon23 August 2026
- D1-1Dalian Zhixing19 August 2026
- W3-2away to Wuhan Three Towns14 August 2026
- W3-2away to Chongqing Tongliang Long9 August 2026
What these results say
- SHANGHAI SIPG went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- SHANGHAI SIPG scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- SHANGHAI SIPG conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 33 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 37 | +19 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sichuan Jiuniu vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- 21 July 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Sichuan JiuniuFA Cup
- 6 May 2026SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 30 June 2025Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 23 February 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 13 September 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 2–0 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 5 May 2024Sichuan Jiuniu 0–6 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
Leading scorers: Sichuan Jiuniu and SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
GoalsAssists
- Wesley Moraes145
SHANGHAI SIPG
GoalsAssists
- Leonardo145
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SHANGHAI SIPG won 1–0 at Sichuan Jiuniu. The model had leaned towards a win for Sichuan Jiuniu at 57% and given a win for SHANGHAI SIPG 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Kuai Jiwen 81' for SHANGHAI SIPG. On expected goals it finished 0.89–0.97.