Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Djurgardens IF 2-2 Orgryte IS.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Djurgardens IF, 16% draw, 10% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.35, 6.25 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Djurgardens IF at 74%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35J. RinneG
- 18A. StåhlD
- 21M. MarquesD
- 4J. Une-LarssonD
- 24M. LarssonD
- 13D. StenssonM
- 20M. SiltanenM
- 8P. ÅslundM
- 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
- 19J. OkkelsM
- 9K. LienF
- 10Abdul AbdulmalikM
- 7Christos AlmyrasM
- 28A. AnderssonM
- 11O. FalleniusF
- 2P. JohanssonD
- 6P. LanghoffM
- 27S. RingbergF
- 14C. RosenquistF
- 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
- 44H. GustafssonG
- 14D. PaulsonD
- 33S. LagerlundD
- 6M. DyrestamD
- 5C. StyffeD
- 2M. ParkerD
- 23O. Parker-PriceM
- 7C. VindehallM
- 8B. LaturnusM
- 9L. AnderssonF
- 22T. SanaF
- 25J. HammarD
- 17W. HofvanderF
- 21W. KenndalM
- 34A. RahmG
- 29Marlon EbietomereD
- 32Viktor EkblomF
- 3J. AzulayD
- 19A. AndreassonD
- 18A. AnderssonD
Form going into Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS
Djurgardens IF
Allsvenskan
- W2-0away to IF Brommapojkarna16 October 2026
Orgryte IS
Allsvenskan
- W4-2Gais18 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 27 | +29 | 52 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS
- 20 July 2026Orgryte IS 0–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS
Djurgardens IF
GoalsAssists
- K. Lien166
- Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
- C. Rosenquist81
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Djurgardens IF at 74% and given a draw 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Jeppe Okkels 8' for Djurgardens IF, Bo Åsulv Hegland 60' for Djurgardens IF, william hofvander 66' for Orgryte IS, Viktor Ekblom 90+1' for Orgryte IS. On expected goals it finished 1.39–0.75.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Djurgardens IF a 13.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 15.9% after a win, 4.6% after a draw, 3.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 4.6%, 9.3 points lower than before the match.
For Orgryte IS the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 57.0% going in: 33.2% after a win, 51.3% after a draw, 60.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 51.3%, 5.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.