24 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result

Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Kalmar FF 0-3 IF Brommapojkarna.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Kalmar FF, 26% draw, 40% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IF Brommapojkarna at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kalmar FF0%Draw1%IF Brommapojkarna99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽Anton Kurochkinassist: Mads Hansen
🔁Melker Hallbergout: Robert Gojani
29'
🔁Marius Soderbackout: Alexander Almqvist
45'
🔁Victor Larssonout: Sivert Overby
45'
57'
Lukas Björklund
🔁Abdussalam Magashyout: Kasper Paananen
62'
72'
🔁Lukas Björklundout: Kaare Barslund
🔁vilmer tyrenout: Eskild Dall
73'
77'
🔁Oskar Nils Cottonout: Pavle Vagic
83'
⚽Wilmer Odefalkassist: Rasmus Örqvist
86'
⚽Wilmer Odefalkassist: Oliver Zandén
90'
🔁Rasmus Örqvistout: Carl Aurell
90'
🔁Mads Hansenout: Luka Petrović
90'
🔁Anton Kurochkinout: Rasmus Bergvall

Match stats — Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

62%Possession38%
14Shots11
2On target6
8Corners4
1.35xG1.11

Goals against chances

Kalmar FF0 from 1.35 xGless than the chances were worth
IF Brommapojkarna3 from 1.11 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kalmar FF 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. BrolinG
  • 26M. YlitolvaD
  • 39L. SætraD
  • 4J. LöfgrenD
  • 2V. LarssonD
  • 17C. GustafssonM
  • 5M. HallbergM
  • 10M. SöderbäckM
  • 21A. MagashyM
  • 24C. SagoeM
  • 6V. TyrenF
Substitutes
  • 20A. AlmqvistD
  • 19E. DallF
  • 30J. KindbergG
  • 22T. LauritsenM
  • 3S. ØverbyD
  • 11K. PaananenF
  • 23R. GojaniM
  • 9M. StoltF
Coach: T. Koskela
IF Brommapojkarna 4-4-2
  • 25D. BlaževićG
  • 4O. CottonD
  • 23J. SimpsonD
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandénD
  • 11R. ÖrqvistM
  • 21S. StrandM
  • 20W. OdefalkM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 9M. HansenF
  • 30L. BjörklundF
Substitutes
  • 12B. AmoleF
  • 35Carl AurellF
  • 27K. BarslundD
  • 22R. BergvallD
  • 24W. DerbaliM
  • 40J. LacayoG
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 2P. VagićD
  • 16Luka PetrovicF
Coach: U. Kristiansson

Form going into Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

Kalmar FF

Allsvenskan

  • W2-1away to Degerfors IF19 October 2026

IF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan

  • L0-2Djurgardens IF16 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Kalmar FF2875162442-1826
11IF Brommapojkarna2898113944-535

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

  • 27 June 2026Kalmar FF 2–0 IF BrommapojkarnaFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 May 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 26 October 2024IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 14 July 2024Kalmar FF 0–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 27 August 2023IF Brommapojkarna 2–3 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
  • 14 May 2023Kalmar FF 1–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Kalmar FF and IF Brommapojkarna

Kalmar FF

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IF Brommapojkarna won 3–0 at Kalmar FF. The model had made a win for IF Brommapojkarna its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Anton Kurochkin 21' for IF Brommapojkarna, Wilmer Odefalk 83' for IF Brommapojkarna, Wilmer Odefalk 86' for IF Brommapojkarna. On expected goals it finished 1.35–1.11.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kalmar FF a 9.0% chance to finish in the bottom two: 2.3% after a win, 8.0% after a draw, 14.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.1%, 5.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kalmar FF v IF Brommapojkarna has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 33% / 28% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 26% / 40%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. Kalmar FF win34%▲ +1
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. IF Brommapojkarna win40%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.