24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg
Referee: Joakim Ostling, Sweden
Full time4 – 0

Final score: BK Hacken 4-0 Degerfors IF.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% BK Hacken, 24% draw, 18% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BK Hacken at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

BK Hacken99%Draw1%Degerfors IF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Gustav Lindgrenassist: Julius Lindberg
8'
⚽Brice Wembangomoassist: David Seger
15'
Harry Joachim Hilvenius
26'
⚽Mikkel Rygaard Jensenassist: adrian svanback
29'
⚽Mikkel Rygaard Jensenassist: Julius Lindberg
32'
51'
gideon yaw yiriyon
55'
🔁Dijan Vukojevicout: Ludvig Fritzson
55'
🔁Karim Bouteraout: Arman Taranis
55'
🔁Noel Milleskogout: Ahmad Faqa
63'
🔁Sebastian Ohlssonout: Sebastian Ohlsson
🔁Mikkel Rygaard Jensenout: Wilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrström
70'
🔁Brice Wembangomoout: Harun Ibrahim
70'
72'
🔁gideon yaw yiriyonout: Elias Barsoum
🔁Gustav Lindgrenout: Mads Agger
78'
🔁Julius Lindbergout: Markus Haaland
83'
🔁David Segerout: Simen Hestnes
84'

Match stats — BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF

54%Possession46%
19Shots13
8On target5
3Corners6
2.43xG1.12

Goals against chances

BK Hacken4 from 2.43 xGmore than the chances were worth
Degerfors IF0 from 1.12 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BK Hacken 4-2-3-1
  • 99E. BerishaG
  • 5B. WembangomoD
  • 13H. HilveniusD
  • 22F. HelanderD
  • 21A. LundkvistD
  • 6A. DoumbiaM
  • 19D. SegerM
  • 20A. SvanbäckM
  • 10M. RygaardM
  • 11Julius LindbergM
  • 9G. LindgrenF
Substitutes
  • 27C. WawaF
  • 7M. AggerF
  • 14M. HaalandM
  • 8S. HestnesM
  • 32H. IbrahimM
  • 18W. UhrströmM
  • 1A. LindeG
  • 23O. SamuelssonD
  • 15L. VäisänenD
Coach: J. Gustafsson
Degerfors IF 5-3-2
  • 38M. IgonenG
  • 6D. SundgrenD
  • 16S. OhlssonD
  • 3Nikolai SkusethD
  • 13M. HamiltonD
  • 18S. DiataraD
  • 10N. MilleskogM
  • 8B. HusseinM
  • 22N. Girmai NetabayM
  • 11D. VukojevićF
  • 9K. BouteraF
Substitutes
  • 17Arman TaranisF
  • 15N. MoroD
  • 14L. FritzsonF
  • 1W. JakobssonG
  • 2Ahmad FaqaD
  • 23R. DzabicM
  • 20E. BarsoumM
  • 28J. HernandezD
  • 7S. OhlssonD
Coach: H. Goitom

Form going into BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF

BK Hacken

Allsvenskan

  • W1-0away to Malmo FF18 October 2026

Degerfors IF

Allsvenskan

  • L1-2Kalmar FF19 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4BK Hacken28131055033+1749
14Degerfors IF2855182348-2520

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF

  • 2 May 2026Degerfors IF 1–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 10 August 2025Degerfors IF 0–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 23 April 2025BK Hacken 3–4 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 3 September 2023Degerfors IF 1–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 13 May 2023BK Hacken 6–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
  • 4 September 2022BK Hacken 2–2 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Degerfors IF

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren132
  • Julius Lindberg98
  • A. Svanbäck88

Degerfors IF

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

BK Hacken beat Degerfors IF 4–0. The model had made a win for BK Hacken its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Gustav Lindgren 8' for BK Hacken, Brice Wembangomo 15' for BK Hacken, Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 29' for BK Hacken, Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 32' for BK Hacken. On expected goals it finished 2.43–1.12.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave BK Hacken a 12.2% chance to finish in the top three: 14.8% after a win, 7.3% after a draw, 3.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.8%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

For Degerfors IF the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 35.7% going in: 16.9% after a win, 30.5% after a draw, 41.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.3%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on BK Hacken v Degerfors IF has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 55% / 25% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 58% / 24% / 18%: the biggest move is BK Hacken's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. BK Hacken win58%▲ +3
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Degerfors IF win18%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.