8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Dunkerque vs Grenoble Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Dunkerque 4-2 Grenoble.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Dunkerque, 14% draw, 73% Grenoble — fair odds of 7.69, 7.14 and 1.37. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-3.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Grenoble at 73% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dunkerque99%Draw1%Grenoble0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Efe Sarıkaya
⚽V. Mayelaassist: A. Daho
21'
45'
⚽Y. Diaby
🔁T. Massockout: M. Decherf
46'
⚽M. Decherfassist: E. Prutsev
52'
⚽E. Prutsevassist: M. Decherf
57'
⚽E. Prutsevassist: T. Robinet
64'
66'
🔁L. Bernadouout: S. Diba
66'
🔁U. Bonnetout: J. Akpa Akpro
69'
Yohann Magnin
76'
⚽Y. Diabyassist: M. Xantippe
🔁E. Prutsevout: K. Ayari
77'
🔁A. Dahoout: E. Mayilla
77'
80'
🔁Y. Diabyout: D. Hoogewerf
81'
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro
🔁A. Lebeauout: F. Atoen
84'
🔁O. Sanganteout: L. Vallier
87'
Marco Decherf
90+6'
Enzo Mayilla
90+1'
90+1'
🔁K. Fofanaout: A. Lallias

Match stats — Dunkerque vs Grenoble

58%Possession42%
17Shots8
6On target2
10Corners2

Line-ups

Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
  • 16M. PrevotG
  • 27A. LinguetD
  • 26O. SanganteD
  • 4B. LagaeD
  • 22V. MayelaD
  • 6J. MorelM
  • 18T. MassockM
  • 93A. DahoM
  • 10A. LebeauM
  • 11E. Prutsev
  • 9T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 73MohaG
  • 7K. AyariF
  • 21L. Dziki LoussilahoD
  • 24L. VallierD
  • 94E. MayillaF
  • 42M. MakhloufiD
  • 25F. AtoenM
  • 29M. DecherfM
  • 17P. M. DiengM
Coach: Albert Sanchez
Grenoble 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. OllieroG
  • 19N. ZahuiD
  • 5C. VidalD
  • 33E. SarikayaD
  • 27M. XantippeD
  • 6Y. MagninM
  • 47K. FofanaM
  • 8L. BernadouM
  • 14M. CorbozM
  • 7Y. DiabyM
  • 12U. BonnetF
Substitutes
  • 16B. AllainG
  • 26M. MionD
  • 23D. HoogewerfF
  • 3F. LimouriD
  • 30S. DibaM
  • 92J. Akpa AkproM
  • 48S. NiakateD
  • 11M. BangreF
  • 9A. LalliasF
Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Dunkerque6222101008
12Grenoble6213710-37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunkerque vs Grenoble

  • 2 May 2026Dunkerque 0–1 GrenobleLigue 2
  • 13 September 2025Grenoble 1–0 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 18 April 2025Dunkerque 2–0 GrenobleLigue 2
  • 8 November 2024Grenoble 0–1 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 13 January 2024Grenoble 2–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 16 September 2023Dunkerque 0–0 GrenobleLigue 2

Leading scorers: Dunkerque and Grenoble

Dunkerque

  • E. Prutsev2 goals1 assists
  • S. Keita2 goals1 assists

Grenoble

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.