8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Boulogne vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Boulogne-sur-Mer
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Boulogne 0-0 Nancy.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Boulogne, 23% draw, 49% Nancy — fair odds of 3.57, 4.35 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nancy at 49% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Boulogne4%Draw91%Nancy5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁C. I. Diaout: A. Nassiri
57'
63'
🔁J. Gelinout: M. Fofana
🔁J. Martinout: O. Lenne
76'
🔁T. Bruscoout: J. Kapenga
76'
81'
🔁L. Ndenbeout: H. Tavares
Nolan Binet
87'
90+1'
🔁B. Bokanguout: S. Cisse

Match stats — Boulogne vs Nancy

38%Possession62%
4Shots11
1On target2
1Corners6

Line-ups

Boulogne 5-3-2
  • 99B. NoukeuG
  • 21A. PlatretD
  • 18D. ThiamD
  • 25A. KerriouD
  • 20T. BruscoD
  • 12J. BoyerD
  • 8J. MartinM
  • 14J. BultelM
  • 19N. BinetM
  • 10A. HbouchF
  • 35C. I. DiaF
Substitutes
  • 1X. LenogueG
  • 7A. NassiriM
  • 28S. PaillardM
  • 22S. DuflosD
  • 15A. PinotD
  • 26O. LenneD
  • 36M. Soumah
  • 4J. KapengaD
  • 34T. DupontM
Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
Nancy 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 4N. FernandezD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 6K. KebeM
  • 25J. GelinM
  • 9I. HousniM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 20B. BokanguF
Substitutes
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 17M. FofanaM
  • 11S. CisseF
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 88J. CoulibalyM
  • 2H. TavaresD
  • 26Z. ZtoutiF
Coach: Pablo Correa

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Boulogne605123-15
10Nancy62134407

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boulogne vs Nancy

  • 20 March 2026Boulogne 0–0 NancyLigue 2
  • 15 August 2025Nancy 1–0 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 28 February 2025Nancy 0–2 BoulogneLigue 3
  • 27 September 2024Boulogne 1–1 NancyLigue 3
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.