Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Dunkerque 2-1 Saint Etienne.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Dunkerque, 27% draw, 38% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Saint Etienne at 38% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
- D1-1Clermont Foot4 September 2026
- L0-2away to Nancy28 August 2026
- L0-1Montpellier21 August 2026
- D3-3away to Reims14 August 2026
Saint Etienne
- W3-1Montpellier5 September 2026
- W3-2away to Dijon31 August 2026
- W4-0Grenoble22 August 2026
- W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dunkerque | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne
- 11 April 2026Saint Etienne 2–1 DunkerqueLigue 2
- 6 December 2025Dunkerque 1–0 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 3 February 2024Dunkerque 1–0 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 4 October 2023Saint Etienne 2–0 DunkerqueLigue 2
Leading scorers: Dunkerque and Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
- E. Prutsev2 goals1 assists
- S. Keita2 goals1 assists
Saint Etienne
- I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
- T. Ballo4 goals2 assists
- A. Boakye3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.