12 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Sochaux vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Auguste Bonal
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Sochaux 1-0 Nantes.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Sochaux, 30% draw, 41% Nantes — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nantes at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sochaux95%Draw5%Nantes0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kapitbafan Djoco
41'
Benjamin Gomel
53'
🔁Kapitbafan Djocoout: Mathis Clairicia
59'
🔁Samy Baghdadiout: Yohan Demoncy
59'
🔁Boubacar Fofanaout: Louicius Deedson
60'
60'
🔁Amin Cherniout: Wilitty Younoussa
60'
🔁Johann Lepenantout: Louis Leroux
60'
🔁Mathieu Cafaroout: Igniatius Ganago
⚽Benjamin Gomel
61'
63'
Kelvin Amian
🔁Benjamin Gomelout: Victor Lobry
71'
71'
🔁Ryad Hachemout: Dehmaine Tabibou
72'
Saidou Sow
🔁Julien Massonout: Jonathan Mexique
77'
77'
🔁Balthazar Pierretout: Ibrahima Sissoko

Match stats — Sochaux vs Nantes

43%Possession57%
9Shots12
3On target3
4Corners6

Line-ups

Sochaux 4-2-3-1
  • 40M. JeanninG
  • 17B. YoussoufD
  • 14M. PeybernesD
  • 26E. N'GattaD
  • 42Dylan TavaresD
  • 21B. DiawaraM
  • 23J. MassonM
  • 10B. FofanaM
  • 5S. BaghdadiM
  • 7B. GomelM
  • 9K. DjocoF
Substitutes
  • 91M. ClairiciaF
  • 11L. DeedsonF
  • 24Y. DemoncyM
  • 3D. GomisD
  • 19V. LobryM
  • 15J. MexiqueM
  • 77L. NomelF
  • 30A. PierreG
  • 4A. VitelliD
Coach: Vincent Hognon
Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. DupéG
  • 75A. CherniD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 4S. SowD
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 8J. LepenantM
  • 13F. DoucouréM
  • 44B. PierretM
  • 26R. HachemM
  • 20M. CafaroM
  • 27T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 78T. TatiD
  • 17D. AssoumaniM
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 37I. GanagoF
  • 7A. JoujouF
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 30P. CarlgrenG
  • 23W. YounoussaM
Coach: Grégory Poirier

Form going into Sochaux vs Nantes

Sochaux

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to PAU4 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Clermont Foot28 August 2026
  • W1-0Guingamp21 August 2026
  • D0-0away to RED Star FC 9314 August 2026
  • L0-3Saint Etienne8 August 2026

Nantes

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Nancy7 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Guingamp29 August 2026
  • L2-5Rodez22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026
  • L0-1RED Star FC 938 August 2026

What these results say

  • Sochaux failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Sochaux had two goals or fewer.
  • Nantes failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Nantes scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Nantes conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Sochaux12255815-711
14Nantes123361418-412

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sochaux vs Nantes

  • 18 December 2021Sochaux 0–0 NantesCoupe de France
  • 2 March 2016Sochaux 3–2 NantesCoupe de France
  • 1 February 2014Sochaux 1–0 NantesLigue 1
  • 14 September 2013Nantes 1–0 SochauxLigue 1

The result against the call

Sochaux beat Nantes 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Nantes at 41% and given a win for Sochaux 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Benjamin Gomel 61' for Sochaux.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.