Durban City vs Amazulu Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Durban City 1-2 Amazulu.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Durban City, 35% draw, 34% Amazulu — fair odds of 3.23, 2.86 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
the draw at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Durban City vs Amazulu
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33F. AsareG
- 2B. ShanduD
- 5S. NcananaD
- 30M. MkhizeD
- 24J. MokoneD
- 17K. JurgensM
- 18B. PoggenpoelM
- 10S. MasekoM
- 28E. BrooksM
- 35L. SifumbaM
- 20Jean LwambaF
- 7H. DomingoM
- 29Alou DoumbiaM
- 4F. GcabaD
- 14L. KoapengF
- 1Salim MagoolaG
- 16L. MakuaM
- 27Siyabonga MsomiF
- 26T. NodadaM
- 23Tylo SangerD
- 1O. MzimelaG
- 42S. MthethwaD
- 5K. AllanD
- 12T. FieliesD
- 3O. MdakaD
- 14N. RadebeM
- 6S. HlangabezaM
- 10S. MadunaM
- 15M. MbanjwaM
- 2A. MaqokolaF
- 23Thandolwenkosi NgwenyaF
- 22B. ThabedeF
- 11A. SitholeM
- 33K. PhillipsD
- 50L. MhlongoM
- 20T. MashigoM
- 24W. KouassiG
- 27H. EksteinM
- 17L. BernD
- 19Sphamandla ZikhaliM
Form going into Durban City vs Amazulu
Durban City
Premier Soccer League
- D1-1away to Milford FC20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Orlando Pirates17 September 2026
- D0-0Stellenbosch1 September 2026
Amazulu
Premier Soccer League
- W1-0away to Polokwane City19 September 2026
- W1-0Marumo Gallants12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Richards Bay4 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Durban City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Durban City vs Amazulu
- 23 May 2026Durban City 0–1 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
- 18 October 2025Amazulu 1–0 Durban CityPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Durban City and Amazulu
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Amazulu
GoalsAssists
- T. Ngwenya81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Amazulu won 2–1 at Durban City. The model had leaned towards a draw at 35% and given a win for Amazulu 34%. The goals: Mondli Mbanjwa 7' for Amazulu, A. Maqokola 45+1' for Amazulu, Domingo 72' for Durban City. On expected goals it finished 0.00–0.09.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Durban City a 11.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 7.7% after a win, 10.4% after a draw, 13.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.5%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.
For Amazulu the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 65.9% going in: 74.1% after a win, 63.6% after a draw, 59.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.1%, 8.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier Soccer League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.