9 August 2026, 11:30 UTC

Dynamo vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result

VTB Arena, Moscow
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Dynamo 3-1 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Dynamo, 25% draw, 21% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dynamo at 54% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dynamo97%Draw3%Dinamo Makhachkala0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Rubens
28'
Daniil Fomin
32'
36'
Andrés Alarcón
🔁Rubensout: D. Skopintsev
61'
🔁Arthur Gomesout: V. Okishor
61'
67'
🔁E. Smelovout: A. Dzhabrailov
67'
🔁D. Lesovoyout: A. Sandrachuk
70'
🔁Miroout: G. Agalarov
Viktor Okishor
73'
🔁D. Fominout: A. Miranchuk
75'
🔁Y. Gladyshevout: I. Sergeev
75'
⚽T. Marinkinassist: V. Okishor
77'
⚽D. Skopintsevassist: K. Tyukavin
79'
81'
⚽G. Agalarov
82'
🔁N. Glushkovout: V. Khubulov
82'
🔁H. Mrezigueout: R. Magomedov
84'
Temirkan Sundukov
86'
Marat Apshatsev
🔁K. Tyukavinout: D. Glebov
89'
⚽A. Miranchukassist: V. Okishor
90'

Match stats — Dynamo vs Dinamo Makhachkala

67%Possession33%
9Shots8
6On target2
4Corners2

Line-ups

Dynamo 4-3-3
  • 1K. RasulovG
  • 4J. CaceresD
  • 55M. OsipenkoD
  • 57David RicardoD
  • 8RubensD
  • 74D. FominM
  • 60T. MarinkinM
  • 10BitelloM
  • 91Y. GladyshevF
  • 70K. TyukavinF
  • 11Arthur GomesF
Substitutes
  • 31I. LeshchukG
  • 7D. SkopintsevD
  • 21A. MiranchukM
  • 24L. ChavezM
  • 33I. SergeevF
  • 17U. BabaevF
  • 56L. ZaydenzalD
  • 88V. OkishorM
  • 6R. FernandezD
Coach: Sandro Schwarz
Dinamo Makhachkala 4-2-3-1
  • 39T. MagomedovG
  • 22M. AzziD
  • 24A. AlarconD
  • 99M. AlibekovD
  • 77T. SundukovD
  • 16H. MrezigueM
  • 6M. ApshatsevM
  • 47N. GlushkovM
  • 52E. SmelovM
  • 88D. LesovoyM
  • 11MiroF
Substitutes
  • 1D. VolkG
  • 8V. KhubulovM
  • 10M. HosseinnejadM
  • 21A. DzhabrailovM
  • 13S. KagermazovD
  • 25G. AgalarovF
  • 9R. MagomedovM
  • 72A. SandrachukD
  • 19K. ZinovichM
Coach: Vadim Evseev

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dynamo9612148+619
7Dinamo Makhachkala84041413+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dynamo vs Dinamo Makhachkala

  • 9 August 2026Dynamo 3–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 23 November 2025Dynamo 3–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 31 August 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 DynamoPremier League
  • 8 March 2025Dynamo 4–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 29 September 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 DynamoPremier League
  • 18 September 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 2–2 DynamoCup

Leading scorers: Dynamo and Dinamo Makhachkala

Dynamo

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Makhachkala

  • G. Agalarov4 goals
  • N. Glushkov2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.