9 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Rubin vs FC Orenburg Premier League prediction & result

Kazan Arena, Kazan
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Rubin 1-1 FC Orenburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Rubin, 30% draw, 27% FC Orenburg — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rubin at 43% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

38'
Evgeniy Bolotov
🔁I. Samoshnikovout: J. Siwe
46'
48'
⚽E. Tsenovassist: M. Sivis
Veldin Hodža
57'
🔁D. Maldonadoout: U. Iwu
57'
🔁N. Gripshiout: D. Kuznetsov
58'
⚽A. Tataev (OG)
60'
63'
🔁E. Tsenovout: D. Vedernikov
63'
🔁D. Rybchinskiyout: A. Kasadzhikov
74'
🔁R. Golybinout: D. Vasiljev
74'
🔁R. Kulout: E. Nazarenko
🔁R. Bezrukovout: A. Jukic
75'
81'
🔁D. Pueblaout: Alexandre Jesus
🔁I. Saavedraout: M. Ignatiev
85'
Ilya Rozhkov
90'

Match stats — Rubin vs FC Orenburg

62%Possession38%
10Shots13
1On target3
9Corners1

Line-ups

Rubin 5-4-1
  • 38E. StaverG
  • 12A. ArroyoD
  • 3D. MaldonadoD
  • 5I. VujacicD
  • 2E. TeslenkoD
  • 51I. RozhkovD
  • 23R. BezrukovM
  • 14I. SaavedraM
  • 22V. HodzaM
  • 71I. SamoshnikovM
  • 11N. GripshiF
Substitutes
  • 25A. NigmatullinG
  • 86N. KoretsG
  • 70D. KabutovD
  • 44D. KuznetsovM
  • 18M. IgnatievD
  • 98N. LobovD
  • 77A. JukicM
  • 6U. IwuM
  • 43J. SiweF
Coach: Franc Artiga
FC Orenburg 4-3-3
  • 1B. OvsyannikovG
  • 24M. SivisD
  • 6J. PalaciosD
  • 5A. TataevD
  • 26E. TsenovD
  • 78R. KulM
  • 57E. BolotovM
  • 20D. RybchinskiyM
  • 8D. PueblaF
  • 30G. GuzinaF
  • 27R. GolybinF
Substitutes
  • 95A. KhodanovichG
  • 53V. KorobovG
  • 9M. SavelyevF
  • 3D. VedernikovD
  • 19Alexandre JesusF
  • 38A. KasimovD
  • 21B. BoschF
  • 65I. IvashchenkoM
  • 18D. VasiljevM
Coach: Ildar Akhmetzyanov

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Rubin92611211+112
11FC Orenburg9162710-39

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rubin vs FC Orenburg

  • 9 August 2026Rubin 1–1 FC OrenburgPremier League
  • 3 July 2026Rubin 1–2 FC OrenburgFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 April 2026Rubin 0–0 FC OrenburgPremier League
  • 20 February 2026FC Orenburg 1–0 RubinFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 September 2025FC Orenburg 0–0 RubinCup
  • 30 August 2025FC Orenburg 2–2 RubinPremier League

Leading scorers: Rubin and FC Orenburg

Rubin

  • A. Arroyo3 goals1 assists
  • J. Siwe3 goals

FC Orenburg

  • A. Kasadzhikov2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.