ES Setif vs JS Kabylie Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ES Setif 1-1 JS Kabylie.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% ES Setif, 28% draw, 28% JS Kabylie — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
ES Setif at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1A. Oukidja
- 7M. Belkhir
- 8M. Hamek
- 9R. Benayad
- 10L. Tabti
- 12C. Lakehal
- 13M. Omfia
- 19A. Khemaissia
- 23S. Bouteldja
- 26R. Boumechra
- 29M. Salifu
- 40Z. Trad
- 21A. Zenadji
- 36M. Sadaoui
- 3A. Naim
- 22D. Hassen Khodja
- S. Akkal
- 20M. Zerrouki
- 17M. Boukerma
- 24I. Bouchagoura
- 16A. Guendouz
- 24C. Boulkaboul
- 28R. Benchaa
- 23N. El Abd
- 26A. Sadahine
- 25S. Benchamma
- 8A. Bada
- 10B. Bouamama
- 11L. Akhrib
- 9B. Messaoudi
- 18A. Mahious
- 30S. Benrabah
- 17M. Hamidi
- R. Bouaouiche
- 4M. Bott
- 13A. Abeid
- 14A. Msanga
- 15Y. Izem
- 27O. Malki
- 21A. Belhocini
Form going into ES Setif vs JS Kabylie
ES Setif
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to MC Oran8 October 2026
JS Kabylie
All competitions we cover
- W1-0ASO Chlef9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ES Setif | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | JS Kabylie | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ES Setif vs JS Kabylie
- 8 May 2026JS Kabylie 5–1 ES SetifLigue 1
- 19 December 2025ES Setif 1–0 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 12 June 2025JS Kabylie 2–0 ES SetifLigue 1
- 13 December 2024ES Setif 2–2 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 15 March 2024JS Kabylie 0–1 ES SetifLigue 1
- 10 November 2023ES Setif 1–0 JS KabylieLigue 1
The result against the call
ES Setif and JS Kabylie drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for ES Setif at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: R. Benayad 11' for ES Setif, B. Messaoudi 33' for JS Kabylie.
How the call on ES Setif v JS Kabylie has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is ES Setif's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- ES Setif win44%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- JS Kabylie win28%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.