14 October 2026, 11:30 UTC

Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor 1. Lig prediction & result

Yeni Batman Stadyumu, Batman
Referee: Omer Tolga Guldibi
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Batman Petrolspor 4-2 İstanbulspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Batman Petrolspor, 23% draw, 22% İstanbulspor — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Batman Petrolspor at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Batman Petrolspor99%Draw1%İstanbulspor0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Mickael Biron
8'
•Muhammed Birkan Tetik
21'
⚽Buğra Çağıranassist: Omurcan Artan
31'
⚽Sami Gokhan Altiparmakassist: Mickael Biron
42'
•Matheus Doria
45+4'
45'
🔁Turan Deni̇z Tuncerout: Yusuf Ozer
45'
🔁Michael Ologoout: Mustafa Sol
45'
🔁Kubilay Sönmezout: Abdullah Dijlan Aydin
46'
⚽Sami Gokhan Altiparmakassist: Buğra Çağıran
46'
47'
⚽Alieu Cham
🔁Buğra Çağıranout: Mamadou Cissokho
64'
⚽Mickael Biron
65'
72'
⚽Mamadou Fallassist: Abdullah Dijlan Aydin
🔁Sami Gokhan Altiparmakout: Gökhan Karadeniz
73'
🔁Bernardo Sousaout: David Kaiki Flores da Silva
73'
74'
🔁Ömer Faruk Duymazout: Ilian Iliev
78'
🔁Mamadou Fallout: Aytaç Kara
🔁Oğuz Gürbulakout: Karan Topdemir
80'
🔁Jin-ho Joout: Emirhan Aydogan
80'

Match stats — Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor

54%Possession46%
20Shots18
9On target3
10Corners8
1.98xG2.56

Goals against chances

Batman Petrolspor4 from 1.98 xGmore than the chances were worth
İstanbulspor2 from 2.56 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Batman Petrolspor 4-1-4-1
  • 13B. TetikG
  • 27Ö. ArtanD
  • 4M. MertD
  • 21DóriaD
  • 3Y. SubaşıD
  • 6Jo Jin-HoM
  • 77BennyM
  • 8O. GürbulakM
  • 26B. ÇağıranM
  • 7M. BironM
  • 79G. AltıparmakF
Substitutes
  • 11O. ImeriF
  • 84A. GurylevD
  • 15DavidF
  • 34M. CissokhoM
  • 5E. AydoğanM
  • 46Devran BozardicD
  • 17G. KaradenizM
  • 72P. YaldırF
  • 18Karan TopdemirF
Coach: Selçuk Şahin
İstanbulspor 5-3-2
  • 28A. TutarG
  • 11B. NızamD
  • 5M. OlogoD
  • 4D. SahinD
  • 89E. UzunhanD
  • 18Turan TuncerD
  • 15E. MendyM
  • 12K. SönmezM
  • 52Ö. DuymazM
  • 27M. FallF
  • 30Alieu ChamF
Substitutes
  • 81A. AkmanF
  • 21D. AydınM
  • 6I. DayakliM
  • 1I. DoganG
  • 10I. IlievM
  • 34A. KaraM
  • 61E. SarıalioğluM
  • 9M. SolF
  • 25Batuhan YavuzD
Coach: Olcay Demir

Form going into Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor

Batman Petrolspor

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Iğdır FK10 October 2026

İstanbulspor

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Esenler Erokspor10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Batman Petrolspor147342724+324
19İstanbulspor1422101233-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor

  • 22 February 2015Batman Petrolspor 0–1 İstanbulspor3. Lig - Group 1
  • 3 October 2014İstanbulspor 2–0 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 1
  • 12 May 2012İstanbulspor 0–1 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 2
  • 30 December 2011Batman Petrolspor 0–2 İstanbulspor3. Lig - Group 2

Leading scorers: Batman Petrolspor and İstanbulspor

Batman Petrolspor

GoalsAssists

  • Pedrinho50
  • M. Biron42

İstanbulspor

GoalsAssists

  • Alieu Cham41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Batman Petrolspor beat İstanbulspor 4–2. The model had made a win for Batman Petrolspor its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Buğra Çağıran 31' for Batman Petrolspor, Sami Gokhan Altiparmak 42' for Batman Petrolspor, Sami Gokhan Altiparmak 46' for Batman Petrolspor, Alieu Cham 47' for İstanbulspor, Mickael Biron 65' for Batman Petrolspor, Mamadou Fall 72' for İstanbulspor. On expected goals it finished 1.98–2.56.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Batman Petrolspor a 14.0% chance to finish in the top four: 15.6% after a win, 10.8% after a draw, 9.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.6%, 1.6 points higher than before the match.

For İstanbulspor the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 52.5% going in: 43.7% after a win, 52.0% after a draw, 55.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.7%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 50% / 25% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 55% / 23% / 22%: the biggest move is Batman Petrolspor's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Batman Petrolspor win55%▲ +5
  2. Draw23%▼ −2
  3. İstanbulspor win22%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.