FC Botosani vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Botosani 1-1 Oțelul.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% FC Botosani, 26% draw, 26% Oțelul — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Botosani at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Botosani vs Oțelul
Line-ups
- 99Ioannis AnestisG
- 2Brian BayeyeD
- 4George MironD
- 23Djibril DiawD
- 5Răzvan CrețD
- 67Enriko PapaM
- 3Charles PetroM
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 11Zoran MitrovF
- 41Andrei DumiterF
- 7Sebastian MailatF
- 10Ştefan BodişteanuM
- 22Mykola KovtalyukF
- 8Roland IdowuM
- 30Alexandru ȚigănașuD
- 1David DincăG
- 27Ion GurăuG
- 44Rijad SadikuD
- 17Teodor AfilipoaieM
- 14George SorodocM
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 44Dominick ZatorD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 8Rafael BritoM
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 24Denis BordunM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 10AndrézinhoM
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 30Matei FrunzăM
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 7João PaulinoF
- 88KazuD
- 15Cristian NeicuF
- 13Mario ContraG
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 18Dragoș AfteneM
- 77Alexandru BălănicăF
Form going into FC Botosani vs Oțelul
FC Botosani
Liga I
- L1-2away to Universitatea Craiova1 November 2026
- L1-3Petrolul Ploiesti23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti16 October 2026
- W2-0Uta Arad10 October 2026
Oțelul
Liga I
- D1-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1 November 2026
- L3-4away to Farul Constanta25 October 2026
- D1-1Csikszereda16 October 2026
- L0-1away to FCSB10 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Botosani failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Botosani scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Botosani conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Oțelul did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Oțelul conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Oțelul scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs Oțelul
- 25 April 2026FC Botosani 1–1 OțelulLiga I
- 2 February 2026FC Botosani 0–0 OțelulLiga I
- 14 September 2025Oțelul 0–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 14 April 2025FC Botosani 0–1 OțelulLiga I
- 8 November 2024Oțelul 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 15 July 2024FC Botosani 2–3 OțelulLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Botosani and Oțelul
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter70
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Botosani and Oțelul drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Botosani at 48% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Pedro 69' for Oțelul, R. Idowu 90+4' for FC Botosani.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Botosani a 12.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.0% after a win, 14.5% after a draw, 19.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 14.5%, 1.6 points higher than before the match.
For Oțelul the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three: 28.2% after a win, 38.8% after a draw, 46.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 38.8%.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC Botosani v Oțelul has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 48% / 26% / 26%: the biggest move is FC Botosani's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- FC Botosani win48%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Oțelul win26%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.