Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2-1 FC Voluntari.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 28% draw, 28% FC Voluntari — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari
Line-ups
- 91David LazarG
- 2Gustavo CascardoD
- 82Daniel VîrtejD
- 4Setigui KaramokoD
- 3Fábio ViannaD
- 27Raul CîmpeanM
- 6Nicolae PăunM
- 20Nacho HerasM
- 17Doru AndreiM
- 11Dimitri OberlinM
- 9Boris CmiljanićF
- 7Robert SilaghiM
- 14Moses MawaF
- 25Bogdan OtelițăD
- 23Hunor BatzulaM
- 33Szilárd GyengeG
- 21Alin DobrosavleviciD
- 31Lindsay RoseD
- 8Aboubakar KeitaM
- 19Giovani GhimfușM
- 14Eduard ChioveanuG
- 23Matej MamićD
- 5Denis HaruțD
- 6Sava Arangel ČestićD
- 44Mihael OnișaD
- 30Alexandru ȘuteuD
- 8Ion GheorgheM
- 80Godfried RoemeratoeM
- 11Remus GuțeaM
- 10Cristian MerloiF
- 29Adrian Chică-RoșăF
- 7Mihai Roman IIF
- 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
- 25David KikiD
- 22Nuno RodriguesM
- 99Ianis VencuM
- 31Metod JurharG
- 20Alexandru GîţD
- 27Radu CrişanD
- 28Mario ȘtefanM
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Liga I
- D1-1away to Oțelul1 November 2026
- L0-5Universitatea Craiova26 October 2026
- D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti17 October 2026
- L0-2Dinamo Bucuresti9 October 2026
FC Voluntari
Liga I
- L1-2Farul Constanta2 November 2026
- L1-2away to Csikszereda24 October 2026
- L1-2FCSB19 October 2026
- L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026
What these results say
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe had two goals or fewer.
- FC Voluntari did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FC Voluntari scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari
- 12 May 2026FC Voluntari 2–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga II
- 15 April 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–1 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 4 November 2025FC Voluntari 1–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga II
- 4 March 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 27 October 2023FC Voluntari 0–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 9 December 2022Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–1 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Voluntari
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe beat FC Voluntari 2–1. The model had made a win for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: F. Vianna 8' for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, D. Oberlin 38' for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, R. Gutea (penalty) 42' for FC Voluntari. Sent off: I. Gheorghe (FC Voluntari) 46'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe a 35.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 27.2% after a win, 37.6% after a draw, 45.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.2%, 7.9 points lower than before the match.
For FC Voluntari the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 91.0% going in: 85.8% after a win, 91.5% after a draw, 94.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 94.7%, 3.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe v FC Voluntari has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is FC Voluntari's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win44%▼ −3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- FC Voluntari win28%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.