CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result
Final score: CFR 1907 Cluj 0-0 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% CFR 1907 Cluj, 28% draw, 47% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 4.00, 3.57 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
Line-ups
- 31Octavian VâlceanuG
- 3Iva GelashviliD
- 21Cristian IgnatD
- 42Renato PantalonD
- 47Christopher BraunM
- 7Adi NalićM
- 6Ovidiu PerianuM
- 45Mário CamoraM
- 11Andrei CordeaF
- 9Stefan DražićF
- 17Lorenzo BilibocF
- 23Amin ZiblimM
- 80Cosmin MateiD
- 18Ervin OmićM
- 19Sergiu BuşF
- 96Árpád TordaiG
- 86Viktor KunM
- 40Leonard SacaD
- 14Simão RochaD
- 41Anton KrešićD
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 16João LameiraM
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 30David MateiF
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuF
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 22Simon ElisorF
- 29Luca BăsceanuM
- 1Alexandru MaximG
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 31Ronaldo WebsterD
- 28Adrian RusD
- 4Alexandru CrețuM
- 18Mihnea RădulescuM
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
- D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti31 October 2026
- D2-2Dinamo Bucuresti25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I
- W2-1FC Botosani1 November 2026
- W5-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 October 2026
- W2-0Farul Constanta18 October 2026
- W1-0away to Csikszereda11 October 2026
What these results say
- CFR 1907 Cluj failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- CFR 1907 Cluj scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- CFR 1907 Cluj conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova won every one of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 19 |
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 10 | +24 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
- 8 May 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 6 April 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 4 March 2026Universitatea Craiova 3–1 CFR 1907 ClujCupa României
- 7 December 2025Universitatea Craiova 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 3 August 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 2–3 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 10 May 2025Universitatea Craiova 2–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Craiova
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić71
- A. Cordea62
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Craiova drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Universitatea Craiova at 47% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave CFR 1907 Cluj a 35.3% chance to finish in the top six: 46.5% after a win, 36.1% after a draw, 28.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 36.1%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.
For Universitatea Craiova the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 69.2% going in: 75.2% after a win, 66.1% after a draw, 61.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 66.1%, 3.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 27% / 29% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 25% / 28% / 47%: the biggest move is Universitatea Craiova's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- CFR 1907 Cluj win25%▼ −2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Universitatea Craiova win47%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.