12 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Full time5 1

Final score: FC Copenhagen 5-1 Debreceni VSC.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% FC Copenhagen, 22% draw, 16% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Copenhagen at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Copenhagen99%Draw1%Debreceni VSC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Elyounoussiassist: Robert
3'
46'
🔁F. Ciblaout: B. Dzsudzsak
46'
🔁J. Mejiasout: A. Lang
46'
🔁R. Kellerout: A. Guerrero
47'
B. Dzsudzsak
57'
Leon Myrtaj
M. Elyounoussi (pen)
58'
🔁Robertout: M. Nasnas
60'
61'
Shedrach Kaye
66'
🔁C. Denesout: B. Vajda
Geovanni Vianney
67'
🔁M. Madsenout: T. Delaney
68'
🔁M. Elyounoussiout: A. Cornelius
68'
A. Kralassist: A. Cornelius
76'
🔁G. Vianney Ndjeeout: Y. Moukoko
77'
🔁B. Melingout: F. Beijmo
77'
A. Corneliusassist: A. Kral
78'
86'
🔁S. Baldoniout: A. Szendrei
A. Corneliusassist: M. Nasnas
90'

Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC

57%Possession43%
22Shots10
11On target2
6Corners3

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. KotarskiG
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 5Gabriel PereiraD
  • 6A. MarkgrafD
  • 24B. MelingD
  • 33A. KralM
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 21M. MadsenM
  • 16RobertM
  • 44G. Vianney NdjeeF
Substitutes
  • 31R. A. RunarssonG
  • 51T. Breum-HarildG
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 9Y. MoukokoF
  • 39V. DadasonF
  • 45G. OlsenF
  • 37M. NyassiD
  • 14A. CorneliusF
  • 2F. BeijmoD
Coach: Bo Svensson
Debreceni VSC 4-3-3
  • 12B. ErdelyiG
  • 8L. MyrtajD
  • 5B. BatikD
  • 4J. MejiasD
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 99F. Cibla
  • 75D. PataiM
  • 78C. Sain BalaszM
  • 18S. KayeF
  • 25S. BaldoniF
  • 97C. DenesF
Substitutes
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 89D. PoserG
  • 10B. DzsudzsakM
  • 11A. Szendrei
  • 26A. LangD
  • 3A. GuerreroD
  • 6B. BoskovicM
  • 22B. VajdaM
  • 20M. MacsoM
Coach: Gert Remmel

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC

FC Copenhagen

  • W3-0away to Debreceni VSC6 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
  • W2-1Polessya29 July 2026
  • W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
  • D3-3away to Polessya23 July 2026

Debreceni VSC

  • W1-0Nyiregyhaza9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

FC Copenhagen and Debreceni VSC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC CopenhagenSuperliga8701228+1421
8Debreceni VSCNB I72321011-19

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · NB I

Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC

  • 12 August 2026FC Copenhagen 5–1 Debreceni VSCUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 6 August 2026Debreceni VSC 0–3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Debreceni VSC

FC Copenhagen

  • M. Elyounoussi6 goals2 assists
  • B. Meling4 goals1 assists

Debreceni VSC

  • Á. Szendrei3 goals2 assists
  • B. Dzsudzsák2 goals
  • Adrián Guerrero2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.