CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA 1948 1-2 Panathinaikos.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% CSKA 1948, 19% draw, 13% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA 1948 at 68% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
Line-ups
- 1P. MarinovG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 22O. GasevicD
- 67FredericM
- 33H. CuellarM
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 30J. MeyerM
- 11G. RusevF
- 9A. IlievF
- 13D. SheytanovG
- 31A. BozhevG
- 34P. VitanovM
- 6E. ParkhomenkoD
- 15F. SoltaniD
- 96D. GrivicD
- 23F. KrebsM
- 77E. FrancoF
- 20B. Sobrero
- 1I. PenaG
- 3G. Katris
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. Van DrongelenD
- 11A. ZarouryM
- 4P. ChirivellaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 77G. KyriakopoulosM
- 99L. GarciaF
- 10S. AndinoF
- 74E. RastoderF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 70K. Kotsaris
- 5A. ToubaD
- 20V. TabordaF
- 7A. Tetteh
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 18S. KontourisM
- 9C. DessersF
- 16A. Gnezda CerinM
Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948
- W3-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Panathinaikos5 August 2026
- W2-1Arda Kardzhali31 July 2026
- D0-0Spartak Trnava28 July 2026
- W2-1Botev Vratsa25 July 2026
Panathinaikos
- D1-1CSKA 19485 August 2026
- D2-2Paks30 July 2026
- W2-1away to Paks23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | First League | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 1 | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · Super League 1
Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
- 11 August 2026CSKA 1948 1–2 PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League
- 5 August 2026Panathinaikos 1–1 CSKA 1948UEFA Europa Conference League
- 5 July 2023CSKA 1948 0–1 PanathinaikosFriendlies Clubs
- 5 July 2023Panathinaikos 1–0 CSKA 1948Friendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948
- Frédéric Maciel1 goals
Panathinaikos
- V. Taborda3 goals1 assists
- A. Tetteh2 goals
- K. Kangwa1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.