Durban City vs Golden Arrows Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Durban City 0-0 Golden Arrows.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Durban City, 40% draw, 25% Golden Arrows — fair odds of 2.86, 2.50 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Durban City vs Golden Arrows
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33Frederick AsareG
- 2Bandile ShanduD
- 5Siphamandla NcananaD
- 27Siyabonga MsomiD
- 24John Managa MokoneD
- 17Kyle JurgensM
- 23Tylo SangerM
- 35Luphumlo Kaka SifumbaM
- 8Gastón SirinoM
- 10Samkelo MasekoM
- 20Jean LwambaF
- 9Tashreeq MorrisF
- 26Thabo NodadaM
- 13Seth GreenM
- 12Kabelo MofokengD
- 7Haashim DomingoM
- 34Aden DreyerG
- 4Fezile GcabaD
- 16Lifa MakuaM
- 3Bongani-Junior MthembuM
- 34Edward MaovaG
- 3Khulekani SheziD
- 4Ayanda JiyaneD
- 38Ntandoyenkosi MabasoD
- 30Sbonelo CeleD
- 25Ayabulela MaxweleM
- 24Nqobeko DlaminiM
- 41Nhlanhla ZwaneM
- 36Philani KhumaloF
- 18Sede Junior DionF
- 28Ronaldo Van NeelF
- 22Jerome KarelseF
- 45Keabetswe RakosaM
- 29Sabelo SitholeM
- 17Thokozani Praisegod KhumaloD
- 27Thakasani MbanjwaG
- 35Themba MantshiyaneD
- 49Nhlanhla GasaF
- 14Angelo Van RooiF
- 44Phabonke MbathaD
Form going into Durban City vs Golden Arrows
Durban City
- L0-1away to Sekhukhune United1 August 2026
Golden Arrows
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Durban City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Golden Arrows | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Durban City vs Golden Arrows
- 12 August 2026Durban City 0–0 Golden ArrowsPremier Soccer League
- 11 April 2026Golden Arrows 1–0 Durban CityPremier Soccer League
- 8 March 2026Golden Arrows 1–1 Durban CityCup
- 19 August 2025Durban City 1–1 Golden ArrowsPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Durban City and Golden Arrows
Durban City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Golden Arrows
- S. Dion2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.