12 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Arena Katowice, Katowice
Full time2 – 1

Final score: GKS Katowice 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% GKS Katowice, 18% draw, 12% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.43, 5.56 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts GKS Katowice at 70% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
⚽S. Turielassist: R. Alkoukin
50'
Marcus Coco
🔁M. Kowalczykout: K. Lukasiak
63'
70'
Stav Torial
🔁M. Wedrychowskiout: S. Bartlewicz
71'
🔁M. Wasielewskiout: E. Jirka
71'
73'
🔁R. Alkoukinout: A. Lemkin
78'
🔁M. Cocoout: S. Piven
79'
🔁O. Altmanout: X. Silva
Alan Czerwiński
81'
🔁B. Nowakout: E. Markovic
82'
🔁B. Galanout: M. Wdowiak
82'
⚽Chico (OG)
83'
88'
🔁E. Boatengout: Y. Ferber
88'
🔁S. Turielout: M. Buskila
⚽A. Jedrych (pen)
90'

Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

67%Possession33%
7On target3
7Corners3

Line-ups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 30A. CzerwinskiD
  • 4A. JedrychD
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 23M. WasielewskiM
  • 77M. KowalczykM
  • 68B. WolskiM
  • 8B. GalanM
  • 10M. WedrychowskiM
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 14M. Olsen
  • 55P. RestaD
  • 31S. BartlewiczM
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 15E. MarkovicF
  • 22S. MilewskiM
  • 7M. WdowiakM
  • 19K. LukasiakM
Coach: Rafal Gorak
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. Tzur
  • 97M. CocoD
  • 5F. MayemboD
  • 4ChicoD
  • 16D. LeidnerD
  • 98FalcaoM
  • 6A. KraevM
  • 11S. TurielM
  • 9E. BoatengF
  • 15R. Alkoukin
  • 51O. AltmanF
Substitutes
  • 1D. BenyaminiG
  • 18T. ArchelD
  • 20O. IsraelovD
  • 21S. PivenD
  • 8Y. FerberM
  • 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
  • 23A. LemkinM
  • 35D. OwusuM
  • 27M. BuskilaF
Coach: Elyaniv Barda

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

GKS Katowice

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv6 August 2026
  • W3-1Radomiak Radom2 August 2026
  • W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • W2-0GKS Katowice6 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Ludogorets30 July 2026
  • W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

GKS Katowice and Hapoel Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
10GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa73041311+29
3Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al421184+47

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · Ligat Ha'al

Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • 12 August 2026GKS Katowice 2–1 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 6 August 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–0 GKS KatowiceUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Hapoel Tel Aviv

GKS Katowice

  • I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • D. Owusu2 goals
  • E. Boateng1 goals2 assists
  • S. Torial1 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.