12 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Milford FC vs Siwelele Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Richards Bay Stadium, Richards Bay
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Milford FC 1-0 Siwelele.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Milford FC, 21% draw, 34% Siwelele — fair odds of 2.22, 4.76 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Milford FC at 45% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Milford FC96%Draw4%Siwelele0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁J. Cliffordout: T. Potsane
53'
T. Sesane
58'
S. Jeza
🔁T. Mabenaout: K. Radebe
63'
🔁M. Zikakayoout: S. Masilela
63'
70'
🔁B. Thuloout: J. Marks
🔁S. Ndlabiout: T. Mbunga
72'
⚽M. Chili
77'
80'
🔁M. Puleout: N. Mokhachane
80'
🔁S. Jezaout: C. Saile
🔁M. Chiliout: M. Mkhize
83'
🔁J. Gxakosheout: S. Siyaya
83'
87'
🔁S. Kobediout: S. Rasebotja
89'
T. Sesane
89'
T. Sesane

Match stats — Milford FC vs Siwelele

47%Possession53%
8Shots14
2On target3
2Corners9
0.41xG0.82

Goals against chances

Milford FC1 from 0.41 xGmore than the chances were worth
Siwelele0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Milford FC 4-1-4-1
  • 32S. HlezaG
  • 23T. BhenguD
  • 5V. MthabelaD
  • 22O. CeleD
  • 14S. MdluliD
  • 4B. MthiyaneM
  • 11M. ZikakayoM
  • 35T. MabenaM
  • 10M. ChiliM
  • 17J. GxakosheM
  • 21S. NdlabiF
Substitutes
  • 30M. MadondoG
  • 8M. MkhizeF
  • 20S. SiyayaM
  • 75T. MbungaM
  • 3M. MbheleD
  • 38Y. NomandelaM
  • 50K. RadebeM
  • 19L. DyonasiM
  • 90S. MasilelaF
Coach: Mlungisi Mchunu
Siwelele 4-4-2
  • 31G. PhokoG
  • 2Y. MfoloziD
  • 4T. SesaneD
  • 33S. NdebeleD
  • 29A. BalitiD
  • 20B. ThuloM
  • 26S. KobediM
  • 23G. MargemanM
  • 10M. PuleM
  • 70J. Clifford
  • 17S. JezaF
Substitutes
  • 30S. XuluG
  • 16T. PotsaneM
  • 8R. MokhuoaneM
  • 7N. MokhachaneM
  • 11C. SaileF
  • 80N. NgcoboD
  • 6S. RasebotjaM
  • 27J. MarksM
  • 22K. LupaluleM
Coach: Lehlohonolo Seema

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Milford FC732286+211
15Siwelele7034613-73

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Milford FC vs Siwelele

  • 12 August 2026Milford FC 1–0 SiwelelePremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Milford FC and Siwelele

Milford FC

  • M. Zikakayo2 goals

Siwelele

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.