FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% FC Dallas, 28% draw, 31% Portland Timbers — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Dallas at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
- W2-1away to Minnesota United FC10 September 2026
- W4-3Sporting Kansas City6 September 2026
- D3-3away to St. Louis City30 August 2026
- L0-5away to Vancouver Whitecaps23 August 2026
Portland Timbers
- D2-2St. Louis City10 September 2026
- W5-4Minnesota United FC6 September 2026
- L1-2Austin30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Los Angeles FC23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 43 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
- 23 July 2026Portland Timbers 2–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 28 September 2025Portland Timbers 2–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 10 August 2025FC Dallas 2–0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024Portland Timbers 0–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2024FC Dallas 3–2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- 12 June 2023Portland Timbers 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Dallas and Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
- P. Musa18 goals5 assists
Portland Timbers
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.