Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Real Salt Lake, 30% draw, 32% New York City FC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Salt Lake at 38% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC
Real Salt Lake
- L1-2away to Houston Dynamo10 September 2026
- D2-2Los Angeles FC6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
New York City FC
- L1-2New England Revolution10 September 2026
- D0-0Nashville SC4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Toronto FC29 August 2026
- D1-1away to New England Revolution23 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Cincinnati19 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC
- 24 January 2025Real Salt Lake 2–2 New York City FCFriendlies Clubs
- 24 January 2025Real Salt Lake 2–2 New York City FCFriendlies Clubs
- 11 June 2023Real Salt Lake 0–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 17 April 2022New York City FC 6–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 4 August 2019Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 11 April 2018New York City FC 4–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and New York City FC
Real Salt Lake
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 37 league goals as a side.
New York City FC
- N. Fernández Mercau15 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.