Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Sporting Kansas City, 28% draw, 35% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sporting Kansas City at 37% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
- L3-4away to FC Dallas6 September 2026
- L0-3Vancouver Whitecaps30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Atlanta United FC23 August 2026
- D1-1St. Louis City20 August 2026
Los Angeles FC
- W2-0New York Red Bulls10 September 2026
- D2-2away to Real Salt Lake6 September 2026
- D0-0away to DC United29 August 2026
- D1-1Portland Timbers23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | +14 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC
- 26 July 2026Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 9 June 2025Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 23 March 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 26 September 2024Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityUS Open Cup
- 10 March 2024Los Angeles FC 0–0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga13 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.