12 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FF Jaro vs SJK Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FF Jaro 1-1 SJK.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% FF Jaro, 31% draw, 41% SJK — fair odds of 3.57, 3.23 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SJK at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FF Jaro2%Draw94%SJK4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Vuorinenassist: F. O. Ness
27'
46'
🔁A. Bostromout: S. Yussif
46'
🔁K. Nwanegeout: Kelwin
63'
🔁O. Vaistoout: E. Mastokangas
Gergő Kocsis
64'
70'
🔁L. Vesterbackaout: A. Vellios
70'
⚽E. Mastokangas
🔁A. Sabriyeout: J. Vikstrom
73'
74'
🔁out: A. Cisse
80'
Gospel Chibueze Junior Onuoha
84'
Aziz Cisse
🔁V. Vuorinenout: O. Kass Kawo
88'
90+3'
Facundo Constantini

Match stats — FF Jaro vs SJK

48%Possession52%
11Shots11
3On target3
6Corners5

Line-ups

FF Jaro 4-4-2
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 21J. MyrevikD
  • 4M. OgungbaroD
  • 6J. BrunellD
  • 19F. O. NessD
  • 5A. BjonbackD
  • 7J. SkauD
  • 25G. KocsisD
  • 77A. SabriyeM
  • 26M. PedersenM
  • 91V. VuorinenM
Substitutes
  • 12J. SnellmanG
  • 2F. KassD
  • 20T. SoderstromD
  • 8O. Kass KawoM
  • 24V. LofsM
  • 18E. HolmangF
  • 27J. Vikstrom
Coach: Jens Karlsson
SJK 3-4-3
  • 1R. PaunioG
  • 5O. VaistoD
  • 2F. CostantiniD
  • 28K. NwanegeD
  • 4K. PiresD
  • 8A. BostromM
  • 48A. TraoreM
  • 15E. MommoD
  • 22L. VesterbackaM
  • 9J. StrengF
  • 31E. OnuohaM
Substitutes
  • 35J. ViitalaG
  • 26J. MoisioD
  • 19E. MastokangasM
  • 6S. YussifD
  • 42Caio Araujo
  • 27A. VelliosF
  • 7KelwinF
  • 51A. CisseF
  • 43S. BagayogoD
Coach: Jarkko Wiss

Form going into FF Jaro vs SJK

FF Jaro

  • L0-2away to Ilves8 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Mariehamn31 August 2026
  • L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026

SJK

  • D0-0away to Turku PS8 September 2026
  • D0-0away to AC Oulu31 August 2026
  • L1-2Lahti21 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Mariehamn15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615
10SJK2247112533-819

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs SJK

  • 12 September 2026FF Jaro 1–1 SJKVeikkausliiga
  • 24 July 2026FF Jaro 2–1 SJKVeikkausliiga
  • 24 April 2026SJK 1–1 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • 18 March 2026SJK 2–1 FF JaroFriendlies Clubs
  • 24 January 2026SJK 1–2 FF JaroLeague Cup
  • 18 August 2025FF Jaro 0–4 SJKVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: FF Jaro and SJK

FF Jaro

  • H. Sjögrell5 goals1 assists

SJK

  • E. Mastokangas2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.