FF Jaro vs SJK Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FF Jaro 1-1 SJK.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% FF Jaro, 31% draw, 41% SJK — fair odds of 3.57, 3.23 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
SJK at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FF Jaro vs SJK
Line-ups
- 1S. VitsG
- 21J. MyrevikD
- 4M. OgungbaroD
- 6J. BrunellD
- 19F. O. NessD
- 5A. BjonbackD
- 7J. SkauD
- 25G. KocsisD
- 77A. SabriyeM
- 26M. PedersenM
- 91V. VuorinenM
- 12J. SnellmanG
- 2F. KassD
- 20T. SoderstromD
- 8O. Kass KawoM
- 24V. LofsM
- 18E. HolmangF
- 27J. Vikstrom
- 1R. PaunioG
- 5O. VaistoD
- 2F. CostantiniD
- 28K. NwanegeD
- 4K. PiresD
- 8A. BostromM
- 48A. TraoreM
- 15E. MommoD
- 22L. VesterbackaM
- 9J. StrengF
- 31E. OnuohaM
- 35J. ViitalaG
- 26J. MoisioD
- 19E. MastokangasM
- 6S. YussifD
- 42Caio Araujo
- 27A. VelliosF
- 7KelwinF
- 51A. CisseF
- 43S. BagayogoD
Form going into FF Jaro vs SJK
FF Jaro
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Ilves8 September 2026
- L0-2away to Mariehamn31 August 2026
- L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
- L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026
- L1-3VPS8 August 2026
SJK
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Turku PS8 September 2026
- D0-0away to AC Oulu31 August 2026
- L1-2Lahti21 August 2026
- L0-2away to Mariehamn15 August 2026
- D2-2Gnistan7 August 2026
What these results say
- FF Jaro did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FF Jaro conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FF Jaro failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- SJK did not win any of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs SJK
- 24 July 2026FF Jaro 2–1 SJKFinnish Premier League
- 24 April 2026SJK 1–1 FF JaroFinnish Premier League
- 18 March 2026SJK 2–1 FF JaroFriendlies Clubs
- 24 January 2026SJK 1–2 FF JaroLeague Cup
- 18 August 2025FF Jaro 0–4 SJKFinnish Premier League
The result against the call
FF Jaro and SJK drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for SJK at 41% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: V. Vuorinen 27' for FF Jaro, E. Mastokangas 70' for SJK.
How the call on FF Jaro v SJK has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 37% / 27% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 28% / 31% / 41%: the biggest move is FF Jaro's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- FF Jaro win28%▼ −9
- Draw31%▲ +4
- SJK win41%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.