FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Krasnodar 1-0 FC Rostov.
Before kick-off the model made it 75% FC Krasnodar, 16% draw, 9% FC Rostov — fair odds of 1.33, 6.25 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Krasnodar at 75% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
- W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
- W1-0Akhmat15 August 2026
FC Rostov
- L1-4away to Akhmat22 August 2026
- D1-1Rubin15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 20 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov
- 11 July 2026FC Krasnodar 3–3 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 28 February 2026FC Krasnodar 2–1 FC RostovPremier League
- 27 September 2025FC Rostov 0–0 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 16 March 2025FC Rostov 0–1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 14 September 2024FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC RostovPremier League
- 6 July 2024FC Krasnodar 3–2 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Krasnodar and FC Rostov
FC Krasnodar
- N. Krivtsov3 goals1 assists
- Jubal3 goals
- Christian2 goals2 assists
FC Rostov
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.