Fakel vs Zenit Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Fakel 0-1 Zenit.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Fakel, 31% draw, 35% Zenit — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zenit at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Fakel vs Zenit
Fakel
- D0-0FC Orenburg22 August 2026
Zenit
- L0-2away to Spartak Moscow23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 3 | Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fakel vs Zenit
- 8 March 2025Fakel 0–2 ZenitPremier League
- 22 October 2024Fakel 0–1 ZenitCup
- 21 September 2024Zenit 3–1 FakelPremier League
- 30 July 2024Zenit 3–0 FakelCup
- 6 May 2024Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Zenit Saint PetersburgPremier League
- 13 August 2023Zenit Saint Petersburg 2–0 Fakel VoronezhPremier League
Leading scorers: Fakel and Zenit
Fakel
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Zenit
- A. Sobolev6 goals1 assists
- M. Glushenkov5 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.