29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Fakel vs Zenit Premier League prediction & result

Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Fakel 0-1 Zenit.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Fakel, 31% draw, 35% Zenit — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zenit at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fakel4%Draw94%Zenit2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Butta Magomedov
20'
🔁I. Alshinout: A. Kovalev
48'
65'
🔁Jhon Jhonout: V. Karavaev
65'
🔁Felipe Augustoout: A. Sobolev
🔁A. Gnapi Dableout: M. Turishchev
66'
66'
🔁R. Vegaout: K. Andrade
🔁A. Sutorminout: V. Yakimov
67'
78'
🔁W. Barriosout: A. Erokhin
82'
•Igor Diveev
85'
Igor Diveev
🔁B. Magomedovout: I. Yurganov
86'
🔁D. Todorovicout: A. Bagamaev
86'
Nikolay Giorgobiani
87'
90+4'
🔁Luiz Henriqueout: Nino
90'
⚽A. Sobolev (pen)

Match stats — Fakel vs Zenit

30%Possession70%
8Shots21
2On target5
2Corners6

Line-ups

Fakel 3-4-3
  • 1D. FrolkinG
  • 5A. GabaraevD
  • 53M. BardachevD
  • 44Y. ZhuravlevD
  • 55D. TodorovicM
  • 97B. MagomedovM
  • 52R. NetfullinM
  • 10I. AlshinM
  • 99N. GiorgobianiF
  • 9A. Gnapi DableF
  • 11A. SutorminF
Substitutes
  • 96I. ObukhovG
  • 35V. DorovskikhG
  • 20I. YurganovD
  • 22H. El MhassaniD
  • 8A. BagamaevM
  • 17A. KovalevM
  • 23V. YakimovM
  • 93M. UridiaF
  • 19B. PusiF
Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
Zenit 4-2-3-1
  • 16D. AdamovG
  • 31Gustavo MantuanD
  • 78I. DiveevD
  • 28N. AlipD
  • 66R. VegaD
  • 93A. KarpukasM
  • 5W. BarriosM
  • 11Luiz HenriqueM
  • 61D. KondakovM
  • 14Jhon JhonM
  • 9Felipe AugustoF
Substitutes
  • 71D. OdoevskiyG
  • 57B. MoskvichevG
  • 33NinoD
  • 15V. KaravaevD
  • 82S. VolkovD
  • 25K. AndradeD
  • 21A. ErokhinM
  • 38A. MusaevM
  • 7A. SobolevF
Coach: Sergey Semak

Form going into Fakel vs Zenit

Fakel

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0FC Orenburg22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to CSKA Moscow15 August 2026
  • D0-0Akhmat10 August 2026

Zenit

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Spartak Moscow23 August 2026
  • W3-0Dynamo16 August 2026
  • L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Fakel141310923-146
1Zenit1410133215+1731

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fakel vs Zenit

  • 8 March 2025Fakel 0–2 ZenitPremier League
  • 22 October 2024Fakel 0–1 ZenitCup
  • 21 September 2024Zenit 3–1 FakelPremier League
  • 30 July 2024Zenit 3–0 FakelCup
  • 6 May 2024Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Zenit Saint PetersburgPremier League
  • 13 August 2023Zenit Saint Petersburg 2–0 Fakel VoronezhPremier League

Leading scorers: Fakel and Zenit

Fakel

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Zenit

GoalsAssists

  • M. Glushenkov105
  • A. Sobolev102

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Zenit won 1–0 at Fakel. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Zenit at 35%. The goal: A. Sobolev (penalty) 90' for Zenit. Sent off: Igor Diveev (Zenit) 85'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.