Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Akhmat 3-3 Krylia Sovetov.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Akhmat, 28% draw, 23% Krylia Sovetov — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Akhmat at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov
Line-ups
- 1V. UlyanovG
- 95A. AdamovD
- 4T. IbishevD
- 5K. CakeD
- 8M. BogosavacD
- 18J. RomaoM
- 11I. SilvaM
- 20M. SamorodovM
- 17E. CacinturaM
- 7L. SadulaevM
- 77G. MelkadzeF
- 88G. SheliaG
- 71R. MitsaevG
- 90O. NdongD
- 81M. SidorovD
- 10K. ShchetininM
- 6K. SidibeM
- 70A. GadzhievM
- 13M. KonateF
- 23G. KenzhebekM
- 30S. PesjakovG
- 15N. RasskazovD
- 5D. OrozD
- 23N. ChernovD
- 47S. BozhinD
- 2K. PecheninD
- 11A. RahmanovicM
- 8M. VityugovM
- 4Y. GorshkovM
- 10M. KramaricM
- 19I. OleynikovF
- 80N. KokarevG
- 39E. FrolovG
- 72D. FernandezD
- 18I. LepskiiD
- 3T. GaldamesD
- 17I. ChesnokovM
- 20K. StolbovM
- 77D. MakarovM
- 78D. Malikov PavlovichM
Form going into Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
All competitions we cover
- W4-1FC Rostov22 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel10 August 2026
Krylia Sovetov
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Akron23 August 2026
- L1-4Dinamo Makhachkala16 August 2026
- L0-2Baltika8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Akhmat | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov
- 11 April 2026Krylia Sovetov 2–2 AkhmatPremier League
- 16 August 2025Akhmat 3–1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 24 November 2024Krylia Sovetov 2–1 AkhmatPremier League
- 23 September 2024Akhmat 1–1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 10 May 2024Krylya Sovetov 0–2 Akhmat GroznyPremier League
Leading scorers: Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov
Akhmat
GoalsAssists
- L. Sadulaev33
Krylia Sovetov
GoalsAssists
- A. Rahmanović50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Akhmat at 49% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: I. Oleynikov 15' for Krylia Sovetov, L. Sadulaev 36' for Akhmat, E. Cacintura 38' for Akhmat, N. Chernov 45' for Krylia Sovetov, G. Melkadze 60' for Akhmat, I. Oleynikov 72' for Krylia Sovetov.