FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% FC Midtjylland, 28% draw, 24% HNK Rijeka — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: HNK Rijeka v FC Midtjylland, 27 Aug →
FC Midtjylland went through 6–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Midtjylland at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka
Line-ups
- 1E. OlafssonG
- 8P. BillingD
- 3M. JensenD
- 22M. B. SorensenD
- 11D. OsorioM
- 5R. KristensenM
- 19P. BravoM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 20V. ByskovM
- 7FranculinoF
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 25N. BakkerG
- 6M. ErlicD
- 13A. GabrielD
- 15D. Beni
- 34A. Ndiaye
- 29K. WatjenM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 80Dani SilvaM
- 14E. ChilufyaF
- 99A. TodorovicG
- 22A. OrecD
- 45A. MajstorovicD
- 5A. BarcoD
- 34M. DevetakD
- 8I. CubelicM
- 6B. PavicM
- 10T. FrukM
- 26T. DantasM
- 4N. JankovicM
- 18D. Adu AdjeiF
- 13I. VekicG
- 1V. KovacG
- 23J. LasickasD
- 3M. ZivkovicD
- 51A. HusicD
- 91N. BodeticD
- 14A. GojakM
- 19S. VignatoM
- 21J. PuljicF
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Lyngby16 August 2026
- W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
- W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026
- L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026
HNK Rijeka
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ilves13 August 2026
- W1-0Ilves6 August 2026
- W2-1Rudes2 August 2026
- W1-0away to Derry City30 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Midtjylland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- HNK Rijeka scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for HNK Rijeka had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 18 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · HNL
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- Cho Gue-Sung30
HNK Rijeka
GoalsAssists
- T. Fruk54
- D. Adu-Adjei43
- S. Vignato41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Midtjylland beat HNK Rijeka 2–0. The model had made a win for FC Midtjylland its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Cho Gue-Sung 20' for FC Midtjylland, S. Johannesen 48' for FC Midtjylland.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.