20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

MCH Arena, Herning
Full time2 – 0

Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% FC Midtjylland, 28% draw, 24% HNK Rijeka — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Midtjylland at 48% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka

FC Midtjylland

  • D1-1away to Lyngby16 August 2026
  • W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
  • W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026
  • L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026

HNK Rijeka

  • L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC MidtjyllandSuperliga8530168+818
5HNK RijekaHNL6321107+311

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · HNL

Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka

FC Midtjylland

  • F. Etim3 goals2 assists
  • S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists

HNK Rijeka

  • D. Adu-Adjei3 goals1 assists
  • T. Fruk2 goals3 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.