HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: HNK Rijeka 1-4 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% HNK Rijeka, 29% draw, 35% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HNK Rijeka at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland
HNK Rijeka
- W3-2Istra 196123 August 2026
- L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026
FC Midtjylland
- W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 18 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: HNL · Superliga
Head-to-head: HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland
- 20 August 2026FC Midtjylland 2–0 HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland
HNK Rijeka
- D. Adu-Adjei3 goals1 assists
- T. Fruk2 goals3 assists
FC Midtjylland
- F. Etim3 goals2 assists
- S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.