27 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Full time1 – 4

Final score: HNK Rijeka 1-4 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% HNK Rijeka, 29% draw, 35% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: FC Midtjylland 2–0 HNK Rijeka (20 Aug) →

FC Midtjylland went through 6–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

HNK Rijeka at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

HNK Rijeka0%Draw1%FC Midtjylland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Adu Adjeiassist: A. Orec
4'
Justas Lasickas
13'
17'
⚽S. Iheanacho
31'
🔁M. Erlicout: A. Gabriel
🔁N. Jankovicout: Y. Kabadayi
46'
46'
🔁K. Watjenout: S. Johannesen
48'
Mads Bech Sørensen
51'
⚽D. Osorioassist: D. Castillo
56'
⚽M. Jensenassist: R. Kristensen
57'
🔁S. Iheanachoout: Cho Gue-Sung
57'
🔁D. Osorioout: Franculino
🔁S. Vignatoout: I. Cubelic
64'
🔁D. Adu Adjeiout: J. Puljic
64'
Jakov Puljić
70'
Ante Majstorović
74'
78'
⚽Cho Gue-Sungassist: S. Johannesen
82'
🔁P. Billingout: V. Byskov
🔁B. Pavicout: A. Gojak
83'
🔁T. Frukout: G. Grulovic
83'

Match stats — HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland

44%Possession56%
9Shots19
4On target8
2Corners7

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
  • 99A. TodorovicG
  • 22A. OrecD
  • 45A. MajstorovicD
  • 51A. HusicD
  • 23J. LasickasD
  • 26T. DantasM
  • 6B. PavicM
  • 19S. VignatoM
  • 10T. FrukM
  • 4N. JankovicM
  • 18D. Adu AdjeiF
Substitutes
  • 13I. VekicG
  • 1V. KovacG
  • 34M. DevetakD
  • 3M. ZivkovicD
  • 14A. GojakM
  • 8I. CubelicM
  • 5A. BarcoM
  • 21J. PuljicF
  • 7Y. KabadayiF
Coach: Matjaz Kek
FC Midtjylland 4-5-1
  • 1E. OlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 3M. JensenD
  • 6M. ErlicD
  • 22M. B. SorensenD
  • 11D. OsorioM
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 21D. CastilloM
  • 29K. WatjenM
  • 18S. IheanachoF
Substitutes
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 13A. GabrielD
  • 15D. Beni
  • 34A. Ndiaye
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 14E. ChilufyaF
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 20V. ByskovM
  • 7FranculinoF
Coach: Mike Tullberg

Form going into HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland

HNK Rijeka

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Istra 196123 August 2026
  • L0-2away to FC Midtjylland20 August 2026
  • L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Ilves13 August 2026
  • W1-0Ilves6 August 2026

FC Midtjylland

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026
  • W2-0HNK Rijeka20 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby16 August 2026
  • W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026

What these results say

  • HNK Rijeka conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for HNK Rijeka had two goals or fewer.
  • FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
6HNK RijekaHNL125341918+118
34FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference League301228-61

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: HNL · UEFA Europa Conference League

Head-to-head: HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland

  • 20 August 2026FC Midtjylland 2–0 HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland

HNK Rijeka

GoalsAssists

  • T. Fruk54
  • D. Adu-Adjei43
  • S. Vignato41

FC Midtjylland

GoalsAssists

  • Cho Gue-Sung30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Midtjylland won 4–1 at HNK Rijeka. The model had leaned towards a win for HNK Rijeka at 36% and given a win for FC Midtjylland 35%. The goals: D. Adu Adjei 4' for HNK Rijeka, S. Iheanacho 17' for FC Midtjylland, D. Osorio 51' for FC Midtjylland, M. Jensen 56' for FC Midtjylland, Cho Gue-Sung 78' for FC Midtjylland.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.