Ajax sit 4th in the Eredivisie on 13 points from 6 matches, having scored 19 and conceded 7. The model rates their attack at 1.00× the league average and their defence at 1.15× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Willem II 5-1 at home. That is 2.17 points a match, scoring 3.17 and conceding 1.17 per game across 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 3 points behind PSV Eindhoven at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 44%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
Ajax sit 4 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W5-1Willem II15 September 2026
- W5-1away to Fortuna Sittard12 September 2026
- L1-3PSV Eindhoven5 September 2026
- W4-0away to Telstar30 August 2026
- D2-2Heerenveen16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax host Excelsior at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam on 19 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. The model makes it 44% Ajax, 28% draw and 28% Excelsior, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.68 expected goals for Ajax against 1.09. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Full preview and model analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior
Recent meetings with Excelsior
- 1 February 2026Excelsior 2–2 AjaxEredivisie
- 22 November 2025Ajax 1–2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 24 April 2024Ajax 2–2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 19 August 2023Excelsior 2–2 AjaxEredivisie
- 29 January 2023Excelsior 1–4 AjaxEredivisie
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- J. Brandt3 goals
- D. Klaassen3 goals
League goals this season.