3 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FC Basel 1893 1-2 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Basel 1893, 30% draw, 30% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Basel 1893 at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Basel 18930%Draw4%FC Sion96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Žan Celarassist: Asane Sow
40'
45'
Ali Kabacalman
•Žan Celar
45+2'
🔁Xherdan Shaqiriout: Ludwig Thorell
60'
🔁Kazeem Olaigbeout: Philip Otele
60'
Moussa Cisse
61'
66'
🔁Théo Berdayesout: Franck Surdez
66'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Josias Lukembila
67'
🔁Fodé Syllaout: Rilind Nivokazi
76'
⚽Winsley Boteli Mokangoassist: Josias Lukembila
Ludwig Thorell
79'
79'
⚽Winsley Boteli Mokango
84'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Liam Chipperfield
85'
Noé Sow
🔁Žan Celarout: giacomo koloto
89'
🔁Abemly Meto Silu Metinhoout: Jonas harder
89'
🔁Becir Omeragicout: Nicolas·Vouilloz
89'

Match stats — FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion

46%Possession54%
11Shots19
3On target6
4Corners7

Line-ups

FC Basel 1893 4-3-3
  • 13M. SalviG
  • 6K. TsunemotoD
  • 24F. DaniliucD
  • 55A. VictoryD
  • 29M. CisséD
  • 10X. ShaqiriM
  • 4B. OmeragićM
  • 5MetinhoM
  • 18A. SowF
  • 9Ž. CelarF
  • 11K. OlaigbeF
Substitutes
  • 3N. VouillozD
  • 49Renato Widmer D’AutiliaG
  • 37G. KolotoF
  • 44J. HarderM
  • 14A. BačaninM
  • 8L. Małachowski ThorellM
  • 17A. MaloudaF
  • 7P. OteleF
  • 27K. RüeggD
Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner
FC Sion 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 29T. BerdayesM
  • 37F. SyllaM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 22A. LlukesM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 19F. SurdezF
  • 20N. HeftiD
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion

FC Basel 1893

  • D3-3away to BSC Young Boys29 August 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Zurich22 August 2026

FC Sion

  • L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Basel 189384131614+213
2FC Sion86022213+918

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion

  • 3 September 2026FC Basel 1893 1–2 FC SionSuper League
  • 26 April 2026FC Basel 1893 0–2 FC SionSuper League
  • 12 February 2026FC Sion 2–0 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 18 January 2026FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 30 August 2025FC Sion 0–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 1 March 2025FC Basel 1893 2–0 FC SionSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Basel 1893 and FC Sion

FC Basel 1893

  • Ž. Celar5 goals1 assists
  • A. Sow3 goals4 assists
  • X. Shaqiri3 goals1 assists

FC Sion

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals4 assists
  • J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
  • D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.