Grasshoppers vs FC St. Gallen Super League prediction & result
Final score: Grasshoppers 2-0 FC St. Gallen.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Grasshoppers, 28% draw, 34% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Grasshoppers at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grasshoppers vs FC St. Gallen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. HubelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 58Y. BettkoberD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 57N. RissiD
- 10O. ClementeM
- 66M. GibelaldeM
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 60S. BengondoF
- 9N. MuciF
- 17S. KrasniqiF
- 71J. HammelG
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 15A. DiabyD
- 4L. MikulicD
- 11G. MorandiM
- 5H. ImouraneM
- 55D. PapicM
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 7L. PlangeF
- 1L. Ati ZigiG
- 3C. Kleine-BekelD
- 4J. StanicD
- 36C. OkorojiD
- 10L. DaschnerM
- 28H. VandermerschM
- 16L. GortlerM
- 20L. Frokaj
- 47E. OwusuM
- 7C. WitzigF
- 14A. BaldeF
- 25L. WatkowiakG
- 74J. RuizD
- 68M. HeydariD
- 11C. BoukhalfaM
- 6B. NeziriM
- 64M. StevanovicM
- 63C. KonietzkeM
- 70N. ScherrerF
- 31D. BesioF
Form going into Grasshoppers vs FC St. Gallen
Grasshoppers
- L2-5away to FC Vaduz30 August 2026
FC St. Gallen
- L3-4FC Thun30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 6 | FC St. Gallen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC St. Gallen
- 2 September 2026Grasshoppers 2–0 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 14 February 2026FC St. Gallen 0–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 21 December 2025Grasshoppers 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 25 October 2025FC St. Gallen 5–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 22 May 2025Grasshoppers 2–0 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 8 March 2025FC St. Gallen 3–1 GrasshoppersSuper League