FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Voluntari 1-2 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Voluntari, 26% draw, 30% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Voluntari at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Line-ups
- 31Metod JurharG
- 5Denis HaruțD
- 27Radu CrişanD
- 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
- 19Marvin SchiebM
- 8Ion GheorgheM
- 44Mihael OnișaM
- 11Remus GuțeaM
- 30Alexandru ȘuteuM
- 90Mihai Roman IIF
- 9Matko BabićF
- 23Matej MamićD
- 80Florian HaităM
- 29Adrian Chică-RoșăF
- 10Cristian MerloiF
- 7Daniel TomaM
- 12Bogdan ȘtefanG
- 14Eduard ChioveanuG
- 25David KikiD
- 28Mario ȘtefanM
- 38Lukáš ZimaG
- 22Mark ȚuțuD
- 4Paul PappD
- 71Breston MalulaD
- 2Andres DumitrescuD
- 20Sergiu HancaM
- 19Léo TeixeiraM
- 98Robert JerdeaM
- 10Alejandro BranM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 9Dan N'LunduluF
- 8Lucho VegaM
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 18Calal HuseinovD
- 30Rareș LeescuD
- 66Tiberiu CăpuşăD
- 1Ștefan RădulescuG
- 29Kilian LudewigD
- 26Liviu ArgeșanuD
- 21David ParaschivM
Form going into FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Voluntari
- L0-4away to Dinamo Bucuresti8 August 2026
- W1-0Uta Arad1 August 2026
- L0-5away to CFR 1907 Cluj27 July 2026
- D2-2FC Botosani17 July 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
- W1-0Oțelul7 August 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Bucuresti19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 14 August 2026FC Voluntari 1–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 6 April 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–4 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 1 December 2023FC Voluntari 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 31 July 2023Petrolul Ploiesti 0–2 FC VoluntariLiga I
- 24 April 2023FC Voluntari 2–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 26 November 2022Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 FC VoluntariFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Voluntari
- R. Guțea4 goals
Petrolul Ploiesti
- B. Malula3 goals
- D. Nlundulu3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.