Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-0 FCSB.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 26% draw, 24% FCSB — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 50% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSB
Line-ups
- 91David LazarG
- 2Gustavo CascardoD
- 82Daniel VîrtejD
- 4Setigui KaramokoD
- 3Fábio ViannaD
- 17Doru AndreiM
- 7Robert SilaghiM
- 23Hunor BatzulaM
- 70Funsho BamgboyeF
- 14Moses MawaF
- 11Dimitri OberlinF
- 27Raul CîmpeanM
- 88Carl DavordzieF
- 9Boris CmiljanićF
- 20Nacho HerasF
- 5Bogdan VătăjeluD
- 33Szilárd GyengeG
- 25Bogdan OtelițăD
- 21Alin DobrosavleviciD
- 16Raul CantauzM
- 13Matei PopaG
- 2Valentin CrețuD
- 3André DuarteD
- 21Dylan BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PădurariuD
- 8Eddy GnahoréM
- 28Aymen BoutoutaouM
- 10Florin TănaseM
- 18João PauloM
- 31Juri CisottiM
- 9Daniel BîrligeaF
- 33Risto RadunovićD
- 90Alexandru StoianF
- 7Octavian PopescuF
- 22Mihai TomaM
- 34Mihai UdreaG
- 32Ștefan TârnovanuG
- 77Luca StancuM
- 6Andrei DăncuşD
- 97Ronny LabonneD
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSB
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara2 August 2026
- W1-0Universitatea Cluj26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid20 July 2026
FCSB
- D2-2Farul Constanta3 August 2026
- L1-4away to Auda30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Csikszereda26 July 2026
- L2-3Auda23 July 2026
- W2-0Arges Pitesti17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | FCSB | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSB
- 10 August 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 FCSBLiga I
- 9 February 2025FCSB 3–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 29 September 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–1 FCSBLiga I
- 24 April 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–2 FCSBLiga I
- 17 March 2024FCSB 2–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 11 February 2024FCSB 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FCSB
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.