FCSB vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 3-2 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 86% FCSB, 9% draw, 5% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.16, 11.11 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FCSB at 86% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FCSB vs FC Botosani
Line-ups
- 13Matei PopaG
- 21Dylan BatubinsikaD
- 5Joyskim DawaD
- 3André DuarteD
- 31Juri CisottiM
- 18João PauloM
- 33Risto RadunovićM
- 4Ricardo PădurariuM
- 28Aymen BoutoutaouF
- 9Daniel BîrligeaF
- 10Florin TănaseF
- 2Valentin CrețuD
- 15Ofri AradD
- 11David MiculescuF
- 8Eddy GnahoréM
- 7Octavian PopescuF
- 32Ștefan TârnovanuG
- 97Ronny LabonneD
- 77Luca StancuM
- 22Mihai TomaM
- 99Ioannis AnestisG
- 2Brian BayeyeD
- 4George MironD
- 94Mamadou DiarraD
- 73Narcis IlașD
- 3Charles PetroM
- 67Enriko PapaM
- 26Hervin OngendaM
- 10Ştefan BodişteanuF
- 41Andrei DumiterF
- 7Sebastian MailatF
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 22Mykola KovtalyukF
- 44Rijad SadikuD
- 27Ion GurăuG
- 23Djibril DiawD
- 5Răzvan CrețD
- 11Zoran MitrovM
- 37Mihai BordeianuM
- 14George SorodocM
Form going into FCSB vs FC Botosani
FCSB
- D0-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe10 August 2026
- D2-2Farul Constanta3 August 2026
- L1-4away to Auda30 July 2026
- W2-0away to Csikszereda26 July 2026
- L2-3Auda23 July 2026
FC Botosani
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
- D1-1Rapid27 July 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FCSB | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Botosani | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs FC Botosani
- 17 August 2026FCSB 3–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 24 May 2026FCSB 4–3 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 3 April 2026FC Botosani 3–2 FCSBLiga I
- 5 February 2026FCSB 2–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 19 September 2025FC Botosani 3–1 FCSBLiga I
- 8 December 2024FCSB 2–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and FC Botosani
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter6 goals
- S. Mailat3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.