Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Uta Arad.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Universitatea Cluj, 33% draw, 28% Uta Arad — fair odds of 2.56, 3.03 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Cluj at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad
Line-ups
- 1Ștefan LefterG
- 24Dino MikanovićD
- 6Iulian CristeaD
- 8Dorin CodreaD
- 27Alexandru ChipciuD
- 18Pedro PinhoM
- 94Ovidiu BicM
- 19Issouf MacalouM
- 10Dan NistorM
- 29Oucasse MendyM
- 25Alibek AlievF
- 12Adams FridayM
- 7Mouhamadou DrammehM
- 77Andrei GheorghițăF
- 46Neofytos MichailG
- 21Denis MoldovanG
- 26Jonathan CisséD
- 22Florent PouloloD
- 59Alin TechereșD
- 2Alin ChinteșD
- 96Árpád TordaiG
- 2Andrei DorobanțuD
- 15Peter OuanehD
- 4Alexandru BengaD
- 3Din AlomerovicD
- 5Sota MinoM
- 16Richard OdadaM
- 11Hakim AbdallahM
- 8Roman AlinM
- 10Marinos TzionisM
- 7Ismet SinaniF
- 9Marius ComanF
- 77Jayson PapeauM
- 20Denis ȚăroiM
- 33Andrei GorceaG
- 1Márcio RosaG
- 22Robert BădescuD
- 19Denis IleM
Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad
Universitatea Cluj
- W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
- L1-3away to Brann30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 July 2026
- D2-2Brann23 July 2026
- W2-1Farul Constanta19 July 2026
Uta Arad
- D0-0Rapid7 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari1 August 2026
- D2-2Oțelul24 July 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Universitatea Cluj | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Uta Arad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Uta Arad
- 17 August 2026Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Uta AradLiga I
- 22 November 2025Uta Arad 0–2 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 19 July 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Uta AradLiga I
- 2 December 2024Universitatea Cluj 0–1 Uta AradLiga I
- 29 July 2024Uta Arad 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 30 March 2024Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Uta AradLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Uta Arad
Universitatea Cluj
- A. Aliev5 goals2 assists
Uta Arad
- M. Coman4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.