Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC.
Before kick-off the model made it 18% Zalaegerszegi TE, 31% draw, 51% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 5.56, 3.23 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 51% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC
Line-ups
Form going into Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
- L0-5away to Vasas8 August 2026
Ferencvarosi TC
- D0-0Vasas2 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
| 5 | Ferencvarosi TC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC
- 17 August 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 16 May 2026Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 9 May 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–0 Zalaegerszegi TEMagyar Kupa
- 14 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 3–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 26 October 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 12 April 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Zalaegerszegi TE and Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
- Calderón2 goals
Ferencvarosi TC
- B. Yusuf2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.