25 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

FF Jaro vs PK-35 Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Referee: Oliver Reitala
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FF Jaro 1-0 PK-35.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% FF Jaro, 28% draw, 38% PK-35 — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

PK-35 at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FF Jaro96%Draw4%PK-350%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Kaius Hardénout: Joni Remesaho
45'
Fabian Ostigard Ness
51'
53'
Tuukka Andberg
🔁Ville Vuorinenout: Abdi Sabriye
61'
62'
🔁Alexander Forsstromout: liam lokake
69'
🔁Eino-Iivari Pitkäläout: Emu Kawakita
⚽Jonathan Lawsonassist: Gergő Kocsis
72'
76'
🔁Jasper pikkuhookanaout: Joona Tapani
76'
🔁Ayuub Ahmed-Nurout: Irfan Sadik
Gergő Kocsis
81'
🔁Mats Pedersenout: Adam Vidjeskog
84'
🔁Jonathan Lawsonout: Joas Vikstrom
90'

Match stats — FF Jaro vs PK-35

54%Possession46%
15Shots8
5On target1
3Corners4
1.21xG0.61

Goals against chances

FF Jaro1 from 1.21 xGabout what the chances were worth
PK-350 from 0.61 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FF Jaro 4-4-2
  • 1S. VitsG
  • 5A. BjonbäckD
  • 6J. BrunellD
  • 4M. OgungbaroD
  • 19F. Østigård NessD
  • 22K. HardénM
  • 25G. KocsisM
  • 7J. SkauM
  • 26M. PedersenM
  • 23Jonathan LawsonF
  • 91V. VuorinenF
Substitutes
  • 21J. MyrevikD
  • 12Joas SnellmanG
  • 2F. KassD
  • 20T. SoderstromD
  • 16A. VidjeskogM
  • 24V. LofsM
  • 42J. RemesahoF
  • 77A. SabriyeF
  • 27J. VikstromF
Coach: Jens Karlsson
PK-35 4-4-2
  • 1A. RamulaG
  • 3A. ForsströmD
  • 34T. AndbergD
  • 2R. SipiD
  • 21K. RasanenD
  • 27Ayuub Ahmed-NurM
  • 8Joao CostaM
  • 88J. PikkuhookanaM
  • 23S. UchiyamaM
  • 18E. PitkalaF
  • 7Pedro DinizF
Substitutes
  • 22L. LokakeD
  • 14E. KawakitaM
  • 15J. TapaniM
  • 19M. TolonenM
  • 9I. SadikF
  • 10O. SalmensuuF
  • 4Ayuub AbdiM
  • 25A. KivelaG
  • 24N. NdaziramiyeM
Coach: Tiago Santos

Form going into FF Jaro vs PK-35

FF Jaro

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to PK-3521 October 2026
  • D1-1Mariehamn17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Turku PS10 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Lahti18 September 2026
  • D1-1SJK12 September 2026

PK-35

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1FF Jaro21 October 2026

What these results say

  • FF Jaro went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FF Jaro scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for FF Jaro had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs PK-35

  • 21 October 2026PK-35 1–1 FF JaroFinnish Premier League
  • 28 September 2024PK-35 0–1 FF JaroYkkösliiga
  • 17 July 2024PK-35 2–1 FF JaroYkkösliiga
  • 19 May 2024FF Jaro 2–1 PK-35Ykkösliiga
  • 16 July 2022PK-35 0–4 FF JaroYkkönen
  • 15 May 2022FF Jaro 4–0 PK-35Ykkönen

The result against the call

FF Jaro beat PK-35 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for PK-35 at 38% and given a win for FF Jaro 34%. The goal: Jonathan Lawson 72' for FF Jaro. On expected goals it finished 1.21–0.61.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.