Genoa vs Como Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Genoa 1-4 Como.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Genoa, 28% draw, 39% Como — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Como at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Genoa vs Como
Line-ups
- 1J. BijlowG
- 27A. MarcandalliD
- 5L. ØstigårdD
- 77M. EllertssonD
- 20S. SabelliM
- 97D. SowM
- 22J. VásquezM
- 8T. BaldanziM
- 32M. FrendrupM
- 29L. ColomboF
- 18M. OsmajićF
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 4Alexsandro AmorimM
- 9VítinhaF
- 74M. DoucoureD
- 3K. EhizibueD
- 11E. MeichtryM
- 10Junior MessiasF
- 2M. MitajD
- 31D. PuczkaD
- 1J. ButezG
- 27Yan CoutoD
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 99T. ChalobahD
- 3Álex ValleD
- 5M. PerroneM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 11Assane DiaoM
- 10N. PazM
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 97Robert SánchezG
- 6Luis MillaM
- 14S. RicciM
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 16KaikiD
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 15A. LahdoM
- 2M. KempfD
Form going into Genoa vs Como
Genoa
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Lazio30 August 2026
- L0-2Napoli22 August 2026
Como
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Napoli30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Udinese22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Genoa vs Como
- 26 April 2026Genoa 0–2 ComoSerie A
- 15 September 2025Como 1–1 GenoaSerie A
- 27 April 2025Como 1–0 GenoaSerie A
- 7 November 2024Genoa 1–1 ComoSerie A
- 10 April 2023Como 2–2 GenoaSerie B
Leading scorers: Genoa and Como
Genoa
GoalsAssists
- M. Osmajić41
Como
GoalsAssists
- T. Douvikas50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Como won 4–1 at Genoa. The model had made a win for Como its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Milutin Osmajić 19' for Genoa, Martin Baturina 25' for Como, Assane Diao Diaoune 30' for Como, Nico Paz 40' for Como, Assane Diao Diaoune 78' for Como.