18 October 2026, 15:45 UTC

Foolad FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Foolad Arena, Ahvaz
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Foolad FC 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Foolad FC, 26% draw, 20% Nassaji Mazandaran — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Foolad FC at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Foolad FC5%Draw93%Nassaji Mazandaran2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
A. Arasteh
38'
🔁B. Norouzifardout: Y. Barajeh
46'
🔁A. Nasiriout: I. Akbari
🔁F. Ahmadzadehout: M. Mohammadi
47'
48'
🔁F. Emamaliout: M. Hosseinzadehfard
S. Ansari
52'
🔁A. Bagheriout: Y. Mazrae
60'
🔁A. Jolaniout: K. Latifi
60'
🔁M. Sarlakout: A. Abolfazlzadeh
67'
67'
🔁J. Aghaeipourout: F. Najafi
G. Latifi
82'
🔁E. Mahrooghiout: V. Amiri
83'

Line-ups

Foolad FC
  • 81H. Lak
  • 3S. Ansari
  • A. Akvan
  • 5A. Saedi
  • 2A. Razzaghpour
  • 30A. Akbarzadeh
  • M. Sarlak
  • 78A. Jolani
  • 9E. Mahrooghi
  • 23A. Bagheri
  • 10F. Ahmadzadeh
Substitutes
  • 1M. Forouzan
  • 6O. Hamedifar
  • 7M. Mohammadi
  • 11V. Amiri
  • 13M. Badragheh
  • 20Y. Mazrae
  • 21M. Moradi
  • 26M. Kazemi
  • 29G. Latifi
Nassaji Mazandaran
  • 1A. Jafarpour
  • 2A. Koohi
  • 26B. Norouzifard
  • 3H. Rabizadeh
  • 17A. Arasteh
  • 24A. Nasiri
  • 6A. Sarabadani
  • 14P. Rezazadeh
  • F. Emamali
  • 9J. Aghaeipour
  • 8A. Sadeghi
Substitutes
  • I. Akbari
  • Y. Barajeh
  • 87A. Sheikhirad
  • 10A. Mohammadnejad
  • 19A. Mahdavikia
  • 20A. Aarabi
  • 22O. Amiri
  • 72M. Hosseinzadehfard
  • 77F. Najafi

Form going into Foolad FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran

Foolad FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W2-1away to Malavan13 October 2026

Nassaji Mazandaran

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D1-1ZOB Ahan8 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Foolad FC12651126+623
12Nassaji Mazandaran12264811-312

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Foolad FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran

  • 21 January 2025Foolad FC 1–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 16 August 2024Nassaji Mazandaran 0–1 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 1 June 2024Nassaji Mazandaran 0–1 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 3 January 2024Foolad FC 1–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 6 April 2023Foolad FC 2–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 20 October 2022Nassaji Mazandaran 2–1 Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Foolad FC and Nassaji Mazandaran drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Foolad FC at 54% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Foolad FC a 32.0% chance to finish in the top four: 41.7% after a win, 20.8% after a draw, 10.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 20.8%, 11.2 points lower than before the match.

For Nassaji Mazandaran the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 6.3% going in: under 1% after a win, 2.4% after a draw, 9.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.4%, 3.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Foolad FC v Nassaji Mazandaran has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 48% / 29% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 54% / 26% / 20%: the biggest move is Foolad FC's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Foolad FC win54%▲ +6
  2. Draw26%▼ −3
  3. Nassaji Mazandaran win20%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.