Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 Sepahan FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Shams Azar Qazvin, 26% draw, 45% Sepahan FC — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sepahan FC at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Line-ups
Form going into Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D1-1away to Paykan10 October 2026
- L2-3Gol Gohar10 September 2026
Sepahan FC
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 1 | Sepahan FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan FC
- 31 October 2025Shams Azar Qazvin 0–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 1 February 2025Shams Azar Qazvin 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 30 August 2024Sepahan FC 1–0 Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League
- 1 June 2024Sepahan FC 4–1 Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League
- 4 March 2024Sepahan FC 3–0 Shams Azar QazvinHazfi Cup
The result against the call
Shams Azar Qazvin and Sepahan FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Sepahan FC at 45% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Shams Azar Qazvin a 30.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 10.9% after a win, 26.3% after a draw, 42.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 26.3%, 3.8 points lower than before the match.
For Sepahan FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 84.1% going in: 95.2% after a win, 81.0% after a draw, 70.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 81.0%, 3.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan FC has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 29% / 26% / 45%: the biggest move is Sepahan FC's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Shams Azar Qazvin win29%▼ −5
- Draw26%▼ −3
- Sepahan FC win45%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.