18 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Delfin SC vs Manta FC Liga Pro prediction & result

Estadio Jocay, Manta
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Delfin SC 4-2 Manta FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Delfin SC, 30% draw, 26% Manta FC — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Delfin SC at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Delfin SC97%Draw3%Manta FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Jefferson Troya
⚽Franco Ayuntaassist: Erick Zuniga
22'
37'
⚽Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo (pen)
38'
⚽Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo
⚽Franco Ayunta (pen)
45+4'
Anthony Bedoya Caicedo
55'
62'
🔁Jefferson Troyaout: Robert Burbano
62'
🔁Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedoout: Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra
62'
🔁J. Vergésout: Jeremy Mina
63'
Alexander Medina
Bryan Hernandez
64'
🔁Bryan Hernandezout: Enzo Alejandro Rubio
68'
🔁Jefferson Arceout: Maikel Reyes
68'
🔁Gerónimo Herediaout: Emerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio
68'
71'
🔁Alexander Medinaout: Juan Nazareno
⚽Franco Ayuntaassist: Emerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio
74'
76'
🔁Juan Jimenezout: Ángel Ledesma
🔁Danny Lunaout: Lucas Dante Cornejo
78'
Lucas Dante Cornejo
80'
🔁Franco Ayuntaout: Kevin Ushina
90+3'
⚽Kevin Ushinaassist: Maikel Reyes
90+5'

Match stats — Delfin SC vs Manta FC

54%Possession46%
18Shots15
4On target4
6Corners4
2.68xG1.56

Goals against chances

Delfin SC4 from 2.68 xGmore than the chances were worth
Manta FC2 from 1.56 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Delfin SC 4-2-3-1
  • 21B. HerasG
  • 77B. HernándezD
  • 32A. BedoyaD
  • 5O. MedinaD
  • 14E. ZúñigaD
  • 34G. HerediaM
  • 18J. MorochoM
  • 31Jefferson Stalin Arce MinaM
  • 10Danny Gabriel Luna MoránM
  • 50T. OzaetaM
  • 9F. AyuntaF
Substitutes
  • 3D. AimarD
  • 16L. CastroM
  • 33A. CisnerosD
  • 23L. CornejoM
  • 22J. CárdenasG
  • 70E. EspinozaM
  • 8K. MorenoM
  • 80B. PeñaD
  • 55M. ReyesD
Coach: Juan Carlos León
Manta FC 4-4-2
  • 12F. ZambranoG
  • 23A. MedinaD
  • 4J. NazarenoD
  • 24O. MoscarelliD
  • 31G. MinaD
  • 27Jefferson Alberto Troya VeraM
  • 6J. JiménezM
  • 5B. RamírezM
  • 55J. VergésM
  • 17José Enrique Angulo CaicedoF
  • 19J. AlmanF
Substitutes
  • 7Walter Leodán Chalá VásquezF
  • 1W. ChávezG
  • 20Josué ChalaM
  • 14J. MinaM
  • 25J. MonagaD
  • 70J. NazarenoM
  • 52J. RialpeM
  • 8M. ValenciaF
  • 10R. BurbanoM
Coach: Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier

Form going into Delfin SC vs Manta FC

Delfin SC

Liga Pro

  • W3-2Mushuc Runa SC9 October 2026

Manta FC

Liga Pro

  • W1-0Tecnico Universitario10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Delfin SC36108183143-1238
16Manta FC3696212752-2533

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Delfin SC vs Manta FC

  • 15 July 2026Manta FC 0–1 Delfin SCLiga Pro
  • 14 March 2026Delfin SC 0–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 28 June 2025Delfin SC 2–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 4 March 2025Manta FC 2–2 Delfin SCLiga Pro
  • 5 October 2021Delfin SC 2–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 20 April 2021Manta FC 1–2 Delfin SCLiga Pro

Leading scorers: Delfin SC and Manta FC

Delfin SC

GoalsAssists

  • F. Ayunta111

Manta FC

GoalsAssists

  • José Enrique Angulo Caicedo70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Delfin SC beat Manta FC 4–2. The model had made a win for Delfin SC its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Franco Ayunta 22' for Delfin SC, Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo (penalty) 37' for Manta FC, Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo 38' for Manta FC, Franco Ayunta (penalty) 45+4' for Delfin SC, Franco Ayunta 74' for Delfin SC, Kevin Ushina 90+5' for Delfin SC. On expected goals it finished 2.68–1.56.

How the call on Delfin SC v Manta FC has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 40% / 32% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 30% / 26%: the biggest move is Delfin SC's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Delfin SC win44%▲ +4
  2. Draw30%▼ −2
  3. Manta FC win26%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.