Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Pohang Steelers, 32% draw, 31% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pohang Steelers at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Line-ups
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 3Kim Ye-SungD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 9J. AnF
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 41M. ParkG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 45Byeon Jun-SooD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 55T. ParkM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 9G. LeeF
- 51Ahn Jun-SuG
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 56K. LeeM
- 8Kim Yi-SeokM
- 17Kim Joo-ChanF
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gangwon FC30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Jeju United FC25 August 2026
- W3-0Bucheon FC 199522 August 2026
- W2-1away to Gwangju FC15 August 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
- D0-0Jeonbuk Motors25 August 2026
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Incheon United16 August 2026
What these results say
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 44 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Juninho Rocha41
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pohang Steelers and Gimcheon Sangmu FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Pohang Steelers at 37% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: Jung-taek Lee (Gimcheon Sangmu FC) 58'.
How the call on Pohang Steelers v Gimcheon Sangmu FC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 34% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 37% / 32% / 31%: the biggest move is Pohang Steelers's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Pohang Steelers win37%▲ +4
- Draw32%▼ −2
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.