RB Bragantino vs Bahia Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 2-3 Bahia.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% RB Bragantino, 30% draw, 36% Bahia — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bahia at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Bahia
RB Bragantino
- L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
- W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026
Bahia
- W3-2Internacional30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Vitoria23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Chapecoense16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Bahia
- 18 March 2026Bahia 2–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 2 November 2025Bahia 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 12 June 2025RB Bragantino 0–3 BahiaSerie A
- 1 September 2024RB Bragantino 2–1 BahiaSerie A
- 12 May 2024Bahia 1–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 20 August 2023Bahia 4–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
Leading scorers: RB Bragantino and Bahia
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Bahia
- Luciano Juba9 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.