RB Bragantino vs Bahia Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 2-3 Bahia.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% RB Bragantino, 30% draw, 36% Bahia — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Bahia at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Bahia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 34A. HurtadoD
- 4Alix ViniciusD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 5FabinhoM
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 32J. HerreraM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 47Wallace YanM
- 11Fernando SantosF
- 1CleitonG
- 51Caue NascimentoD
- 52R. TavaresD
- 14Pedro HenriqueD
- 2G. RodriguezD
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 22Gustavo NevesM
- 6GabrielM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 1Ronaldo StradaG
- 31R. GomezD
- 33David DuarteD
- 21S. RamosD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 14ErickM
- 5Nicolas AcevedoM
- 11RodrigoM
- 99C. OliveraF
- 9A. VelizF
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 17G. HerreraG
- 4KanuD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 66Ze GuilhermeD
- 10Everton RibeiroM
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 6Jean LucasM
- 12Willian JoseF
- 7AdemirF
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Bahia
RB Bragantino
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
- W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026
- L0-2Corinthians9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Atletico Mineiro29 July 2026
Bahia
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Internacional30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Vitoria23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Chapecoense16 August 2026
- D0-0Vasco da Gama9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fluminense30 July 2026
What these results say
- RB Bragantino failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for RB Bragantino had two goals or fewer.
- Bahia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Bahia
- 18 March 2026Bahia 2–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 2 November 2025Bahia 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 12 June 2025RB Bragantino 0–3 BahiaSerie A
- 1 September 2024RB Bragantino 2–1 BahiaSerie A
- 12 May 2024Bahia 1–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 20 August 2023Bahia 4–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
Leading scorers: RB Bragantino and Bahia
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.
Bahia
GoalsAssists
- Luciano Juba112
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bahia won 3–2 at RB Bragantino. The model had made a win for Bahia its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lucas Barbosa 14' for RB Bragantino, Luciano Juba (penalty) 34' for Bahia, A. Veliz 38' for Bahia, S. Ramos (own goal) 45' for RB Bragantino, Erick 50' for Bahia. On expected goals it finished 1.65–2.36.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.