Getafe vs Celta Vigo La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Getafe, 31% draw, 27% Celta Vigo — fair odds of 2.38, 3.23 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Getafe at 42% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Getafe vs Celta Vigo
Line-ups
- 13David SoriaG
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 8N. GudeljD
- 2D. DakonamD
- 24Z. RomeroD
- 22J. MojicaD
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 23O. MangalaM
- 6Mario MartínM
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 10M. SatrianoF
- 26J. ValouD
- 30O. LopezM
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 3DavinchiD
- 15S. BoselliD
- 20Iván AzónF
- 27Ebrahima DrammehF
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 21Andrés GarcíaD
- 13I. RaduG
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 2C. StarfeltD
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 39J. El AbdellaouiM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 8Miguel RománM
- 22Javi GalánM
- 10Iago AspasF
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 21S. CáceresD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 17Javi RuedaD
- 19W. SwedbergM
Form going into Getafe vs Celta Vigo
Getafe
- L0-1away to Osasuna31 August 2026
- W1-0Racing Santander23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Alaves15 August 2026
Celta Vigo
- D0-0away to Real Sociedad3 September 2026
- L0-2Athletic Club30 August 2026
- L1-2Osasuna27 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Getafe vs Celta Vigo
- 7 September 2026Getafe 1–1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 1 February 2026Getafe 0–0 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 17 August 2025Celta Vigo 0–2 GetafeLa Liga
- 24 May 2025Getafe 1–2 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 4 November 2024Celta Vigo 1–0 GetafeLa Liga
- 11 February 2024Getafe 3–2 Celta VigoLa Liga