Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Göztepe 2-4 Gaziantep FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Göztepe, 28% draw, 33% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Göztepe at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Line-ups
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 26M. BokeleD
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 20N. DismasM
- 12R. AkonnorM
- 7André HenriqueM
- 39JandersonF
- 9JuanF
- 18F. AnjorinM
- 8A. AntunesM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 16O. BayrakD
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 14T. BökeF
- 6Alex MatosM
- 1A. ÖzçimenG
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
- 25K. TobiaszG
- 2Luis PérezD
- 4A. KızıldağD
- 14M. AbenaD
- 23K. ÇalhanoğluD
- 6U. MelekeM
- 18D. SorescuM
- 8V. GidadoM
- 44A. MaximM
- 10K. KozłowskiM
- 28H. DervişoğluF
- 11M. CihanM
- 35A. DadakdenizG
- 77Sabahattin DesticiD
- 19S. DursunF
- 17Karamba GassamaM
- 61O. ÖzçiçekM
- 5E. SarıkayaD
- 9T. StewartF
- 21A. SyllaD
Form going into Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Galatasaray29 August 2026
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
- D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026
Gaziantep FK
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Rizespor29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Eyüpspor23 August 2026
- D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Göztepe | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 15 |
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
- 9 May 2026Göztepe 2–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 14 December 2025Gaziantep FK 0–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 7 April 2025Göztepe 1–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- 6 February 2025Göztepe 1–0 Gaziantep FKTürkiye Kupası
- 1 November 2024Gaziantep FK 2–1 GöztepeSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Göztepe and Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
GoalsAssists
- Juan71
- André Henrique41
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gaziantep FK won 4–2 at Göztepe. The model had leaned towards a win for Göztepe at 39% and given a win for Gaziantep FK 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Halil Dervisoglu 5' for Gaziantep FK, Myenty Abena 10' for Gaziantep FK, Kacper Kozłowski 34' for Gaziantep FK, Kacper Kozłowski 45+1' for Gaziantep FK, Juan Santos 51' for Göztepe, Juan Santos (penalty) 90+3' for Göztepe. Sent off: Ogun Bayrak (Göztepe) 72'.
How the call on Göztepe v Gaziantep FK has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 28% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Göztepe's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Göztepe win39%▼ −4
- Draw28%=
- Gaziantep FK win33%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.