Malaga vs Levante La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Malaga 0-0 Levante.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Malaga, 28% draw, 34% Levante — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Malaga at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malaga vs Levante
Line-ups
- 1Alfonso HerreroG
- 31RafitaD
- 15Ángel RecioD
- 4Einar GalileaD
- 12José SalinasD
- 8Carlos DotorM
- 18Pablo MartínezM
- 22Dani LorenzoM
- 10David LarrubiaF
- 9ChupeF
- 19Juan CruzF
- 14Rafa RodríguezM
- 3PugaD
- 5Álex PastorD
- 11Joaquín MuñozF
- 23Izan MerinoM
- 13Carlos LópezG
- 17Eneko JauregiF
- 6Ramón EnríquezM
- 2J. CajusteM
- 13M. RyanG
- 29Nacho PérezD
- 4DelaD
- 2A. MandiD
- 23Manu SánchezD
- 18E. BardeliM
- 20Oriol ReyM
- 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
- 7BruguiF
- 9Iván RomeroF
- 24T. FernándezF
- 27Paco CortésF
- 22J. ToljanD
- 1Pablo CuñatG
- 17Víctor GarcíaD
- 11Yanis MusuayiF
- 3IfeanyiIfeanyi NdukweD
- 10P. RatkovF
- 6RequeM
- 33Marc Santos GavilánD
Form going into Malaga vs Levante
Malaga
- L0-4away to Real Madrid30 August 2026
- D1-1Deportivo La Coruna24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Atletico Madrid19 August 2026
Levante
- W5-2Real Betis29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Osasuna24 August 2026
- L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malaga vs Levante
- 6 September 2026Malaga 0–0 LevanteLa Liga
- 8 February 2025Malaga 1–1 LevanteSegunda División
- 27 November 2024Levante 4–2 MalagaSegunda División
- 17 March 2023Malaga 0–0 LevanteSegunda División
- 4 December 2022Levante 1–0 MalagaSegunda División
- 19 April 2018Levante 1–0 MalagaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Malaga and Levante
Malaga
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Levante
- Brugui3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.